I liked your post, but I think you biased the possible outcome by ignoring the political situation.
It is well known that China does not allow free speech and they have done their best to influence corps that do not belong to them; for instance, Google, Apple, Facebook and so on.
If Tron steps in, the decentralised system has to disappear, or else Justin will - just as happened to the owner of Alibabba (not certain of the spelling).
I, for one, will have no interest in staying in Steemit if we have to give in to Chinese censorship. Not because of what I want to say, but because of the principle of it. So, I much prefer the fork forking.