Great post and explanation. The votes and views thing always had me thinking about the process. You made a clear and somewhat easy to understand where some of these may be coming from. I do also think some users just click on popular posts just because they are hot, but your explanation shows there is definitely another source of traffic.
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I think you're right, except "hot" and "trending" are based on Steem earnings, not views. And the "20 questions" post with 1,700 views did OK ($22 value), but it wasn't near the top of the trending page. I feel very strongly that most of the traffic for that post came from an outside source. Most of my other posts have more upvotes than views (which, as I mentioned above, is odd). This was an exception, which makes me think the traffic wasn't coming from Steemit users.