There was an IBM studies undertaken in the 90ies where they actually computed the probability for this to happen: 3.7 × 10-9 per byte per month. This is thus very very very unlikely :D (see here for moer information).
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Wow, thanks for that info :D
But there is still a possibility of memory overheating (or some other random error) which, I guess is more likely to cause the bitsquatting error.
I would say this is way more likely than the cosmic ray hypothesis for sure ^^