Are we going to benefits or lose with robots and artificial intelligence taking over parts of human life? Maybe at some point in the long run it will be of greater benefit, but in the short term there is going to be a lot of people that are going to suffer. Dr. Subhash Kak, a computeing expert from Oklahoma University, sees a devastating and grim future for humanity with AI taking over in the human economy.
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Instead of automation and self driving cars helping humanity, Kak sees us driving ourselves into a meaningless future with our untempered desire to automate everything. If self-driving cars take off, local and global employment opportunities will be taken from most humans in that field within less than a decade. "The beginnings of the dystopia are already there".
According to statistical models, it's estimated that self-driving cars will be the norm by 2030. Adoption of this technology will displace millions of people from their jobs, requiring them to get jobs elsewhere even if jobs aren't available. As robotics advances into more efficient artificial intelligence that potentially gets closer to real artificial general intelligence, other industries will become greatly affected by their adoption, with again more people out of jobs and looking for work.
Automation is already replacing much of factory in warehouse work, such as at Amazon. Amazon is such a powerhouse, that many department stores are closing because they can compete with the online retail market anymore. This will expand, not only into more jobs that require physical labor, but also into the intellectual labor, as Kak worries:
Why would professors like me be needed if the lectures of the best instructor in the world are recorded and made available on the Internet?
The rise of robotics, automation and artificial intelligence will produce a rise in unemployment and cause a "meaningless misery" from the struggle to find work that gives people meaning in their lives. Kak sees a future of people sunk into despair. Kak believes governments need to take action and ensure people will still have work despite more jobs being taken by robots.
Is this dark warning an accurate prophecy about our future? Sing the potential misery that awaits us on our present course can help to push us into facing that potential reality in our future and possibly avoid it if we choose to.
Maybe these visions of the future are too dark and too pessimistic. But a 2017 McKinsey report suggests it will cause a disruption in how humans find work and maintain work, with the most impact seen in physical work related jobs like equipment officers, food-preparation workers, and general mechanics.
Jobs that require relatively simple and repetitive tasks can be replaced by robots that are programmed to do it quicker and better. Robots can work indefinitely compared to humans, and don't need to be paid. Their precision in repeating tasks also tends to produce less mistakes. One robot can do the job of several humans. For businesses, automation, robotics and artificial intelligence will save money and increase efficiency. The McKinsey report predicts the American workforce will see one third of humans replaced by robots by 2030.
Larry Wentzel/flickr, CC BY 2.0
The domain of physical work will become obsolete for humans, as we are pushed into using our minds more. Intellectual skills will be where people can find work, the potential surge in the need for computer engineers and specialists. This will also create more demand for teachers. Seeing the future around the corner can allow us to better prepare for this eventuality by increasing the growth in these fields ahead of time.
Automation should have no effect on jobs that involve managing people, as that is a highly intellectual and social department that would require an advanced artificial general intelligence to possibly be able to compete with. Greater technological developments are required in order to match human performance in this and other fields.
Maybe that will come someday as well. Maybe one day everything will be done by robots and humans will have almost nothing to do, as all our needs are met by technology. At first, there might be a lot of misery and suffering from those who are displaced from their jobs, but in the longer run this may just shift the job market and force humans to get more skills that are less physically oriented. Less people will be employed in manual labor, and more into intellectual labor.
Do we have anything to fear? Should we prevent the long-term freedom from technological growth into the job market in order to avoid short-term pain, suffering and misery as people lose jobs to robots? Will that long-term goal never come, with us instead leading ourselves into self-destruction?
Thank you for your time and attention. Peace.
References:
- Meaningless misery awaits: Self-driving cars, robots and AI will leave a THIRD of the population unemployed, expert warns
- Self-driving cars and AI will leave a 'THIRD of the population unemployed' and cause people to slip into a meaningless life of misery, expert warns
- What the future of work will mean for jobs, skills, and wages
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Doesnt matter what anyone thinks or says, better technology will always replace inferior tech. No one really know what future holds until it has arrived
And ppl will strive to create more advanced because there is money in it, even if it comes at a cost to others ...
In the sort run there will be massive disruption comparable to the changes around industrialization. But in the long run freeing humanity from mindless work is great. Nobody is sad that 80 hour weeks sweating in a factory are over
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Yup, it "should" be more like the industrial revolution disruption, and eventually get better ;)
I have thought about this problem a lot. I concluded long ago that in the distant future, when all jobs as we know them are automated, that the only work for humans would be commenting online and that people would be paid for their comments.
Isn't the future great?
Also automation has been spreading and advancing at a faster and faster rate for quite a while now and yet unemployment of humans, in America anyhow, is at record lows. Even among those without a high school degree.
Yeah there is a lot of good, hopefully to free humanity to better potentials to aspire to, like making the world better, something like Star Trek ;) where we work to better ourselves together
once holodeck porn is perfected no one will have much interest in seeking out new life and new civilizations or boldly going anywhere. ;) Like WALL-E.
In fact I am preparing a publication about it. I am in favor of technology, but I am not totally satisfied with how it is being applied to society. If we continue along this path, the human will aspire to be practically a parasite.
Humanity will die away under transhumanist desires that make humans no longer human :/
Unfortunately, yes, unless something happens before and avoid it.
Great post! Technological advancement doesn't care about human upset unfortunately! I'm excited and scared at the same time.
Yup, positives and negatives, we need to tread carefully with how we progress, lest a Matrix or Cybernet future develops :/
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interessant article, i wish u good luck man
We can't really tell. But as of now, industrialisation, tech and whatever has really reduced job opportunities, though it created engineering, and other related professions, though it created engineering, and other related professions, though it created engineering, and other related professions. But still, it depends on how it affects you. AI robotics will definitely have it's two sides, everything does.
@krnel, Yes, at this moment people are just speculating this subject, but many are not watching towards it with seriousness.
In my opinion due to rapid Increase in the Robotics and Automation, we will going to lose natural activities of our life which is mandatory to live effectively.
And slowly Robotics will be made more effective and they can mimic humans and in my opinion we already heard that it may be moving towards an subject of Immortality.
So, we need how much we really need it, but when we try to make an subject more than humans then for sure today or tomorrow it will dominate us. And we are in matrix of humans only, the biggest example is our mobile handsets, which knowingly or unknowingly controlling us instead of we control them.
Wishing you an great day and stay blessed. 🙂
I look at all the directions they are driving the herd. Poisoning us with food and water to make us impotent/infertile. Creating technology to do away with their need for our labor. The proclamations we see about their goals to reduce a good chunk of the world population. The large amount of coffins and bullets bought by the U.S. government in recent years.
Looks to me like many of us are to be gotten rid of.
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