Will he be able to do it? Yes not a doubt in my mind that he will get us to mars before US & USSR have that Orbital moon base. A little over 9 years ago, he could not get anyone to help him on his Falcon rockets, so he had to be chief engineer. I doubt that there is a single Rocket/Space Engineer that would say no to Elon today. He is a Dreamer he has always been a Dreamer, but unlike me he has found a way to make his Dream come true, and so it will be.
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Dreamers are the ones who push the world forward and we are lucky to have him at this very important stage in humanity's course. He truly is the real life Iron Man.