Interesting post. I used the same rationale when trading the dips. For example when BTC hit a low of $3000 Friday morning, instead of buying BTC @ $3000, I bought NEO at $15. My belief is that NEO will bounce back to $30 (price point it has crossed before (in fact NEO's high was $50) which is 100% gain before BTC can get to $6000 (which would be a new all time high). I'm only doing this for short term trading. For long term hold, I see your point.
Entering your contest:
BTC will be at $30,000 when Steem hits $10.
Upvote for providing a price estimate. Your conclusion is STEEM is a better investment than BTC, in terms of the next 9X price increase