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RE: Steem experiment: Burn post #103

in #steem7 years ago

No I don't see it that way. Yes the inflated price of SBD does boost the short term rewards, and this does increase the STEEM price to some extent, because people may buy STEEM in order to extract the rewards from the pool using bid bots (not that this actually helps the user base in any way, it is an arms race that benefits almost entirely the arms merchants who in this case are the bid bots and bid bot delegators).

However, even if you see that as a positive (I don't) it is ultimately unsustainable anyway. If nothing else happens, sooner or later (and probably sooner, as it already started recently) the system will stop paying out in SBD and pay out in STEEM. Rewards will drop to their intended value of about 1/2 of what they are now, the added demand attributable to bid bot revenues will go away, and the STEEM price will drop anyway. Unlike with @burnpost, none of the extra demand for SBD is channeled over the STEEM, nor is the STEEM supply reduced (in fact it is increased).

Overall I think @burnpost (even a scaled up version that would actually have a more significant effect on the market) is better: 1. Directly increases the STEEM price by channeling excess demand in SBD back to STEEM, and then long term by reducing the STEEM supply with burning). 2. Restores the utility of SBD as a pegged asset. 3. Helps avoids oversupply of SBD and cut off of SBD printing (the oversupply is a secondary effect of the overvaluation).

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I agree with what you are trying to do, but I also think its important to make everyone you can aware of this. It could possibly hurt those that are using steemit the way it should be used and are just trying to gain exposure using bid bots. I am all for getting SBD back to its pegged price so we can start doing 100% power up posts again. I expect the price of Steem to fall with the price of STB if the $1 peg can be sustained with the systems we have in place. I think its a positive long term, but it may be very painful for quite a few people early on.

Please reread this portion:

If nothing else happens, sooner or later (and probably sooner, as it already started recently) the system will stop paying out in SBD and pay out in STEEM ...

When that happens, the SBD party is over no matter what. Those for whom it will be painful had better brace themselves. Winter is coming.

hurt those that are using steemit the way it should be used and are just trying to gain exposure using bid bots.

Apart from the above (it will happen anyway), this doesn't hurt anyone paying for exposure. They will still be able to use bid bots to pay for exposure. It will just cost less to do so!

@burnpost doesn't really change anything about the reward payouts, they are going to lose the benefit of SBD overvaluation no matter what. What it is doing is channeling this inevitability to help the system in other ways.

I was wondering why I was getting some payouts in Steem, now it all makes sense. I still think Steem will stay close to the price of SBD if we take action now or not. Thanks for taking the time to explain your reasoning, It will be an interesting experiment to watch.