HIVE transactions technically cannot really drop as there is not even a 7-day average yet, to compare it to.you could ask the @blocktivity account on STEEM if he would also include HIVE into the list. I don't know any other source that is counting up the daily transactions.
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Yeah, need a little more time for everything to stabilize and really see how the activity split between the two chains and how it plays with time.
It will be really interesting to follow.
But if the development only continues on Hive (and it seems it will be the case), it won't be a surprise to see activity on Steem decline while Hive's increase.
I think some of the people doing statistics posts will do some Steem/Hive statistics and comparisons.