This analysis assumes that SPS will never go up in price. If that's your base case, then you would be right to think these things. On the other hand, if you assume a much higher price and do your same analysis, then you will get much different numbers.
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Of course, we can hope and pray that the SPS price rises so that the Wild Format can support more players, but I won't just sit around and hope for the best. With the current SPS prices, it's nearly guaranteed that the value of Wild cards will implode.
well if that's the case, then none of this matters. I would disagree with your premise, but only time will tell which of us was right.
The first part of this proposal (halving the SPS multiplier) would, by itself, crush SPS value and increase the % of rewards given to bots in Wild.
The second part of the proposal (blocking out new/casual players from the game) would just exacerbate the effects of the first- crush SPS prices and increase the % of bots in Wild.
I, currently, don't see any basis to think that SPS or asset prices could rise- this proposal like most of the moves made by the company just seemed designed to push the game faster and further in it's current trajectory.
you've messaged me in multiple places and I gave you an indepth reply here. If you want to talk in more depth, then feel free to message me on discord and I will be happy to discuss with you and show you why I think you are looking at the wrong things.