Luck VS Judgement - A Trixie Challenge - Day 6

in #sports6 years ago (edited)

Oh, Lady Luck, what a fiendish and confusing companion you most surely are! Yesterday Luck took the upper hand over Judgement in this Trixie Challenge but was @happyaslarry lucky or was he the opposite?

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Was it good luck that Hello Bob won at Musselburgh and Larry placed at Newbury? Or was it bad luck that Lucky Lodge was beaten out of third place by a short neck at Newcastle? Had that last horse placed then returns for Luck would have been over twelve quid and not just the £2.34 he ended up with. As it is Luck remains in a hole but at least he stands on the shoulders of Judgement.

Today I am sticking to my plan, playing the handicaps, looking for course and distance form, an eye on the jockeys. I’ll admit it hasn’t worked so far on the trixie front but I am comfortably ahead on the hypothetical-level-stakes-profit-and-loss situation. Will my fortunes change today? Well, even judgement needs a little luck from time to time!

This today from @happyaslarry as random puts some odds on the table:

”Well pot luck could make us richish. Gut feeling selections again because trying to force a connection doesn’t work. However we have the sublime and the ridiculous - 100/1 and 9/2 separated by 28/1...

Luck
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Judgement
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Starting pots: £50 each.
Luck yesterday: £2.34
Judgement yesterday: £0
Luck total returns: £2.34
Judgement total returns: £0.38
Days remaining: 19

Winners/P&L to £1 level stake.
Luck: 2/-£4.75
Judgement: 3/+£3.33

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I am going to touch my lucky four leaf clover, for luck to retain the upper hand, and I confidently expect my 100/1 and 28/1 horses to romp home!

Good luck guys!

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