Bets from the weekend look good, 2 wins and 1 pending, which also looks good as 1 of 2 games were already played.
Draw strategy
I'm going to try something new I read about. Apparently, people tend to bet less on draws than on a team to win. Often this makes perfectly sense, but statistics show that there are more draws than many bettors seem to think. As a consequence, the odds for draws are higher than the probability and thus we can find some values bets in draws. The challenge of course is to identify them. I will bet on 3 draws I think are quite probable today with odds over 3. If I win only one of them, I will already have a small profit. As this is new to me, I will only bet 2 stakes each. If this works out over alonger time, I intend to write an article on this subject.
Date | Game -- Bet | Stake | Odds | Result | Bookie |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18.08.2018 | SC Paderborn - FC Ingolstadt -- X | 2 | 3.40 | lose | Bwin |
18.08.2018 | Valencia - Atletico Madrid -- X | 2 | 3.30 | win | Bwin |
18.08.2018 | Atletic Bilbao - Leganes -- X | 2 | 3.60 | lose | Bwin |
Month | Bets | Won | Lost | Push | Staked | Profit | ROI |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
August 2018 | 33 | 18 | 13 | 2 | 119 | -3.53 | -2.97% |
Nice profit today ;-)