Nothing is guaranteed, everything is a risk. Markets are ultimately based off of human behavior and this one just tends to be one that's based off of lots of irrational human behavior that NO technical analysis of charts will you what will happen. E.g. look at the RSI for ripple, bitcoin on the weekly and any kind of pumps and dumps that occur. They never follow traditional trading advice. Not to say that these are useless strategies but in certain times like this, there is no way to predict anything using indicators. Good luck and stay safe!