Party registration for the last batches of Maricopa votes.

in #politics2 years ago

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For the governor's race this will be tight. Lake needs high margins to close the gap, but she could do it with these votes as these batches skew more Republican than the batch yesterday. Hobbs is still very much alive.

For the House, CD1 is the key for the Dems' chances of holding the House. There it looks more pessimistic the Dem would be able to keep their lead with this party registration split. But we will have to see how it splits with the actual votes.

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Something that's going to come up a lot over the next two years if the past is any indication with a thin House majority. Vacancies are quite common during the term.

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Here is the shift from 2020 for North Carolina's Senate race.

Budd overperformed Trump in most counties. Beasley overperformed Biden in the Chapel Hill area and the Asheville area, which are North Carolina's deeply blue areas.

Republicans now have the majority in the North Carolina Supreme Court. That could prove significant for redistricting and for abortion rights in the future. Fortunately Republicans did not manage to get the supermajority in the legislature, so the Democratic Governor can still veto any abortion restrictions.

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