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RE: Let's Talk Politics and the U.S. 2016 Election

in #politics9 years ago

As far as predictions go, the only real question in my mind is if Trump will be able to get the delegates for a first ballot win. Trump will almost certainly win the popular vote, and if convention tomfoolery results in a different candidate being the Republican nominee then I think it will marginalize millions of Republicans.

I don't see the math working for Sanders. The democrats have no winner take all primaries, and I don't see him taking the 75ish% of the remaining delegates he would need to offset Hillary's super delegate advantage. I would be surprised if he beat her in the popular vote.

Sanders having a third or more of the delegates going into the convention will have an effect on the general election though. You will see the Democratic platform shift to the left. This would allow a nominee Trump to take the center, while discussing how Hillary has spent decades covering up her husbands rapes.

If Trump wins the nomination I think he is the next president. Any other Republican and I think Clinton will take it. Oh well. At least we know we wont get another Bush.

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What makes you say you won't get another Bush?

Trump seems likely to be similar or even worse than Bush to me, in terms of alienating the rest of the world with his policies and being an all around loose cannon. The likelihood of him starting a war as a means of distraction from the real problems inside the US seems fairly high, and even it doesn't come to outright war he seems pretty likely to at least majorly piss off most of his allies and certainly those he considers "enemies", like the Mexicans.

Once again let me preface this by saying I am not a Trump supporter, and I have no intention of voting for him. I just think he is the best choice out of a series of terrible choices.

Of course we can never be sure what these assholes will do once they are in power. I am making a few assumptions based upon previous behavior. I don't see Trump starting a war as a distraction. While that is a pretty standard political trick, we haven't seen him act in any standard political way. If his goal was to not have bad things said about him he would not be running for president in the first place, and would not be as honest as he is.

His stance towards Nato, Russia, and the middle east is the closest to reasonable I have ever seen from someone that actually had a chance to become president. I believe that bringing our troops home from some of the 100+ countries they are based in around the world would dramatically reduce the likelihood of war. I further believe that Trump is the only candidate likely to dial back the American empire in any meaningful way.

If the American empire is dialed back, fewer Americans are overseas, fewer drones are in the skies, and fewer hellfire missiles are streaking through the air it should have a positive impact on Americas status in the minds of others.

Beyond that peoples reaction to Trump throughout the world should be a pretty good indication of who is capable of rational thought, and who is controlled purely by "the Feels"

It appears that Hillary has already been selected by the elites. The entire election process is a charade that gives "the people" an impression that they actually shape the outcome of presidential elections. Trump is nothing more than an entertaining side show. In short, this country is screwed.