Thanks for your comment!
But, I think that this play is reasonable.
If he had top hit, I had about 6 outs(any A, Q).
If he call, I would win 24% (76% lose).
EV( if he called )
- lose: -13000 * 0.76 = -9880
- win: 35000 * 0.24 = 8400
EV = -1480
Fold Equity( likelihood that opponent folds * gain in equity if opponent(s) fold )
If likelihood that opponent folds is 20%
FE is 9000 * 0.20 = 1800 => EV = 1800 - 1480 * 0.80 = 616If likelihood that opponent folds is 15%
FE is 9000 * 0.15 = 1350 => EV = 1350 - 1480 * 0.85 = 92If likelihood that opponent folds is 12%
FE is 9000 * 0.12 = 1080 => EV = 1080 - 1480 * 0.88 = -222
If likelihood that he folds is over about 15%, this play is reasonable.
Is this right?
And, his likelihood of fold may be over about 15% because he afraid of my over pair.
He might think that he didn't want to die his one pair.