TRADING SIGNAL PERFORMANCE STATS March 22, 2018 - Binary Options statistics (Nadex & Cantor Exchange)

in #nadex • 6 years ago

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These are live stats from a new strategy we have developped at TraderBot Marketplace. We did not use any back tested results in this information gathering session. Every signal printed in real time and we derived the actual win/loss rate from the Nadex Market Data page at https://www.nadex.com/market-data

All statistics can be found here: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/12ikL_S2zGwCp-LFW2bjbB52_7bkqZdXqUHZ9EYXDngM/edit?usp=sharing

We continued to follow and track performance all week. Below is what we found so far...

  • No matter which strategy we used, it still had positive expectency
  • It catches bars almost at the bottom tick in several circumstances
  • Waiting till after a loss gave an 88% ATM Win Rate this week.

Let's Investigate more...

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All Signals (Total Example Profit $800 minus commissions)

This shows you how the signals performed if you took every single signal given at $50. If you lost, it's counted as a $50 loss. This just shows you how they expired & we did not take commission into our calculations.

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Win after a Loss (Total Example Profit $550 minus commissions)

This shows you an example of a chart if you took the signals only after a loss happened on the last signal. The premise behind this is that these signals don't seem to lose very many trades on a consecutive basis.

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Trading only 9am-5pm Eastern (Total Example Profit $600 minus commissions)

If traders took every signal from 9am till 5pm eastern (Bankers hours) then below is an example chart to show you how this strategy paid off.

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Martingale with 4 count Limit (Total Example Profit $1,400 minus commissions)

I want to caution you to use this with care. This is using martingale but with a 4 trade loss cap. This means that if you lose 4 in a row, you start over. The reason we do this is so that we will not lose our entire account in one trade.

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Bare Signals Given this week:

Monday

17:06 Buy USDJPY @ 106.034 LOSS
20:55 Buy USDJPY @ 106.026 NT
00:01 buy usdjpy @ 106.216 WIN
1:28 buy usdjpy @ 106.257 WIN
2:06 buy usdjpy @106.249 LOSS
3:00 buy usdjpy @106.229 WIN
4:00 buy usdjpy @106.437 LOSS
5:09 Buy usdjpy @ 106.315 WIN
8:59 buy usdjpy @ 106.47 NT
9:05 buy usdjpy @106.453 LOSS
10:12 buy usdjpy @ 106.363 Win
11:52 buy usdjpy @106.346 WIN
12:09 buy usdjpy @ 106.341 WIN
15:47 buy usdjpy @ 106.446 WIN
17:13 buy usdjpy @ 106.50 WIN
19:32 buy usdjpy @ 106.502 Loss
20:14 buy usdjpy @ 106.47 WIN
21:59 buy usdjpy @106.46 No Trade
22:00 buy usdjpy @ 106.45 WIN
23:16 buy usdjpy @106.446 WIN

Monday Totals
5 Losses
12 Wins

Longest losing streak 1
Longest Winning Streak 5
Best time period to trade 9am-5pm

Tuesday

00:01 buy usdjpy @ 106.216 WIN
1:28 buy usdjpy @ 106.257 WIN
2:06 buy usdjpy @106.249 LOSS
03:00 buy usdjpy @106.229 WIN
04:00 buy usdjpy @106.437 LOSS
05:09 Buy usdjpy @ 106.315 WIN
08:59 buy usdjpy @ 106.47 NT
09:05 buy usdjpy @106.453 LOSS
10:12 buy usdjpy @ 106.363 Win
11:52 buy usdjpy @106.346 WIN
12:09 buy usdjpy @ 106.341 WIN
15:47 buy usdjpy @ 106.446 WIN
17:13 buy usdjpy @ 106.50 WIN
19:32 buy usdjpy @ 106.502 Loss
20:14 buy usdjpy @ 106.47 WIN
21:59 buy usdjpy @106.46 NT
22:00 buy usdjpy @ 106.45 WIN
23:16 buy usdjpy @106.446 WIN

Tuesday Totals
5 Losses
12 Wins

Longest losing streak 1
Longest Winning Streak 4
Best time period to trade 9am-5pm

Wednesday

01:51 buy usdjpy @106.445 LOSS
02:10 buy usdjpy @106.422 WIN
03:09 buy usdjpy @106.377 LOSS
04:00 buy usdjpy @106.313 WIN
05:20 buy usdjpy @106.235 WIN
08:00 buy usdjpy @106.251 LOSS
10:28 buy usdjpy @ 106.193 WIN
12:43 buy usdjpy @ 106.311 LOSS
13:02 buy usdjpy @ 106.18 WIN
14:45 buy usdjpy @ 106.36 NT-NEWS
15:06 buy usdjpy @106.11 LOSS
18:09 buy usdjpy @106.029 LOSS
19:21 buy usdjpy @ 105.927 WIN
20:03 buy usdjpy @ 105.90 LOSS

Wednesday Totals
7 Losses
6 Wins

Longest losing streak 2
Longest Winning Streak 2
Best time period to trade 2am-5am

Thursday (STILL IN PLAY)

03:02 buy usdjpy@105.82 LOSS
04:00 buy usdjpy@105.676 WIN
05:05 buy usdjpy@105.674 LOSS
06:46 buy usdjpy@105.57 WIN
08:11 buy usdjpy@105.59 LOSS
09:03 buy usdjpy@105.34 WIN
10:44 buy usdjpy@105.43 WIN
11:42 buy usdjpy@ 105.31 WIN
12:01 buy usdjpy@ 105.29 WIN
13:00 buy usdjpy@ 105.569 WIN
14:27 buy usdjpy @ 105.629 LOSS
15:00 buy usdjpy @ 105.589 LOSS
16:00 buy usdjpy @ 105.377 LOSS

Thursday Totals
5 Losses
7 Wins

Longest losing streak 2
Longest Winning Streak 5
Best time period to trade 9am-1pm

Friday STILL IN PLAY

Thursday Totals
0 Losses
0 Wins

Longest losing streak 0
Longest Winning Streak 0
Best time period to trade N/A

Total Stats so far

19 Losses
36 Wins

Longest Losing Streak 2
Longest Winning Streak 5

Best time to trade so far 9am-5pm

Happy Trading!

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#trading #binary #options #usdjpy
6 years ago in #nadex by
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     6 years ago  

    One downside i see and this is only a maybe but you would need to be able and active to trade this strategy and have a xertain account size to maintain the,strategy.

    But it seems their are enough ways to tweek it so as to get the win rate up enough to stay profitable.

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     6 years ago  

    oh it doesnt require a huge account at all so far. everyone was profitable. we are looking at the 4 different scenarios right now though and will keep you updated. another downside is that this cant be back tested 'technically' with exact rates. its one of those that doesnt work in historical fashion but only uses live data so the testing is slow but promising so far. thanks for your imput jhonny!

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       6 years ago  

      Is this just testing or are these signals available?

      Thanks

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