This ONE Simple Rule Will Determine If You Succeed Or Fail As A Stock Trader. By Gregory Mannarino

in #money7 years ago

me smiling.png

So, what is trading really about? It is about making decisions. Period.

Believe it or not picking the right stocks plays only a small role in whether you will be a successful trader. The real key to trading successfully comes down to a single very basic money management “skill.”
Here is the truth. If you were to throw darts at a board to pick stocks, and on average were right just half the time, you could still make money trading IF you used a single, simple money management skill or “rule.”

Let’s call this skill RULE ONE, (we will go over how to use this shortly).
Does it help to be able to pick the right stocks? Obviously yes! Picking the right stocks will make you more money faster but again, you could be wrong half the time-using RULE ONE and still be a profitable trader.
My goal in this brief is to outline for you how to manage money in the “process” of a trade using only one rule. Yes! Each trade is a process. Only a fool would throw a sum of cash into a particular investment without understanding that each trade must be “managed,” and this “management” is very simple.

RULE ONE. Never put all your eggs in one basket. I am not talking about being diversified, remember we are talking about executing a single successful trade.

Many people who trade believe that by utilizing only a small fraction of their trading funds for any one trade makes them “safe.” Nonsense…I will tell you that this trading mentality will simply cause you to lose money slower, and that’s all.
RULE ONE is simple. Once you pick a particular stock (traders actually use options buying calls and puts for leverage), you need to think ahead just a little bit. Let’s say for example a random stock just pops into a traders head, it’s Facebook ticker FB. Now, let’s say trader A has the sum of XYZ to invest in FB calls. Now the misinformed (trader A) will simply take the sum of XYZ in its entirety, buy those calls, and hope for the best. Now let’s say that the next day FB falls 1%, (which would be on average a 10% loss for the option if you were buying in the money at 3 months out expiration).
Let’s do some basic math.
Assume the sum of XYZ is 10K. Trader A’s FB calls now suffer a 10% loss and are now worth 9K. Trader A decides to sell at a 1K loss.
Many of you who already know my work have heard me talk about how a trader should always enter a trade with a “half” position- this is where thinking ahead to manage your trade comes in and it is the key to success, and big money.
Let’s assume that I, like trader A, have 10K which I want to invest in FB calls-only I open the trade with a “half” position of 5K. Next day the trade goes against me and I close the position with only a 5% loss of my intended 10K investment.
Recap. Both traders had started with the same investment capital, 10K. Trader A went ALL IN with the 10K and lost 10% of the total leaving him with 9K, while the other trader (me) also with an intended 10K investment cut his losses to half of trader A by utilizing a “half” position-(I lost $500 of my initial 5K which I opened the position with leaving me with 9.5K).
Trader A now has a total sum of 9K to invest, having suffered the previously outlined 1K loss and I have 9.5K as a total sum because of my suffered loss.
Now, trader A and I both want to buy puts on Intel, ticker INTC (again in the money at a 3 month out expiration). Trader A puts his entire 9K into the trade when I enter a “half” position of $4,750. Next day the stock gets an analyst upgrade and goes up 3%. Trader A and I both decide to close our positions. Trader A loses 30% of his 9K and I lose 30% of my $4,750.
Trader A is now left with an initial loss of 1K on FB, followed by a $2,700 loss on INTC. He now has $6,300 in trading capital.
I, using my “half” position entry strategy now have a total of $8,075 in trading capital left having lost $500 on FB and $1,425 on INTC .
Recap. Trader A using his “all in” trading strategy has $6,300 left vs my $8,075 simply by using my “half” position entry strategy, (we both started with 10K entered the same positions with different entry strategies).
Trader A and I now want to buy calls on Nike, ticker NKE.
Trader A again goes “all in” with his $6,300 and I enter a “half” position using $4,037 (again assuming in the money positions with a 3 month out expiration).
The next day NKE goes up 1%, or 10% for the options we both bought.
Trader A’s calls are now worth $6930 and mine are worth $4,440. Now, because the NKE went up and I believe more gains are coming, I will take my remaining capital and invest it into buying more calls (same strike and expiration). My investment in NKE calls is now $8,477.
The next day NKE goes up another 3%, (or roughly 30% for the option).
Trader A’s calls are now worth $9,009 and mine are worth $11,020.
End result: both trader A and I started with the same trading capital, entered the same positions but used different entry strategies.
Trader A lost $991
I made a profit of $1,020
In summary: As a trader NEVER deviate from RULE ONE!

Take advantage of my free stock picks which I post on my website TradersChoice.net Here is a link: https://traderschoice.net/The-Equity-Lists.html

Happy Trading!
Gregory Mannarinome steem.png

Sort:  

"Three emotions that run the market. Greed, Fear and Panic." I am a options trader and Gregory is 110% right. His lessons have helped me greatly and I have learned how important tight stop losses are as well capitol management through scaling into positions. It's understandabe why maxing out the initial investment might seem like the right thing to do because is maximizes the potential gain. Being all in feeds the euphoric idea that you can win a substantial gain in a short period of time. The problem comes when maximum loss is not accounted for. Don't forget, you are NOT smarter than the market so prepare for failure accordingly. Also Gregory does an amazing job of setting Price Targets. This is CRUCIAL to success in options trading due to premium decay. Setting a reasonable gain objective and not getting greedy is the only way to succeed in this market.

Do not fall in love with money. Love is blind :)

Excellent information. Do you have any advice on how you mentally handle the stress of the ups and downs of trading? Aside from Maalox? :)

What is your average annual return on your investments over the last 10 years?

To add, ALWAYS spend lots of time on a demo account first till you are seasoned and hardened. NEVER play with real cash first.

You're completely right! But with a demo account I know it's not 'real' and therefore my whole psychology is different. As an analogy, it's like tight roping from 2 feet off the ground, thinking "yeah I've got this" and then trying it from 100 ft....completely different! I'd appreciate some thoughts on how idiots like me can overcome this problem?

Yes, it's like playing strip poker without actually removing your clothes. Therefore take it from me since I've been through hell before, always respect every trade you make. You need to zone your mind before you begin, tell yourself repeatedly how crucial it is to treat it real coz one day the training wheels will be off, and you may only have 1 chance. And when you start real, start only with a tiny amount. This is not to get rich off. But to convince yourself you are good enough not to be margin called.

Thanks Ranchu.
When I have time, I'm going to write a blog on the mistakes I've made to date. And I'll guarantee you that there will be others that'll have done similar....(even if they won't admit it!!!)

You are 100% correct.

bananarama go greg gooo

Hi Greg,

What about getting the X22report here too? Since you are often interviewed by him

I am working on it ; )

Finally I found your STEEMIT account! It was only a matter of time. Longtime YouTube follower and thumbs upper. Followed and will be reading more so I don't end up in lifetime debt because you seem like an anxiety free dude and that is what I am going for too. Got me 100oz of silver, cash in the shoebox and under the mattress and in the couch cushions. Driving my car to death, paying off my debt, building future wealth as a Nurse who is willing to live on not Long Island, NY.

As usually Greg you are the Man Period! Great info! Thanks DR

No no. I am just a guy with a big mouth I guess. Thanks!

Great stuff. Thanks Greg!

Thank you my friend.

When's your next post on rule 2 Greg. Rule 1 was made so clearly.

Gregory hoping you can clarify further.
Can we open a trade using this strategy (rule 1) and still use a the staddle Strategy as well ?

Yes. As an unbreakable rule I ALWAYS open a small initial position. Never go all in and you MUST keep some capital in reserve. Opening with a straddle greatly lowers your initial risk and also allows you to find the true direction of the asset, then capitalize on that direction.

Ok Thank you I really appreciate your Response

I like your strategy Gregory... But let's say he bought nothing buy winners and you win some and lose some... I know that's pretty impossible, so your strategy is fine by me... lol... Don't forget that Pocket Change is the overlooked hard asset...

wow... My comments sure can get lost in the crowd on your page... Think Pocket Change...

Great stuff Gregory. I would really like for you to do your own analysis on just how high you believe bitcoin can go over the next two to five years. Thanks man. Love your work.

Very valuable advice as always:))

Thank you, Greg. You explained rule one in such a way that I was able to understand it.

That makes me happy to hear.

Good stuff Greg. This simple rule is overlooked by many new traders. It can keep you in the game longer and help you establish a trading mindset.

Greg Mannarino is one of the few financial minds that get it, that see the direction we're heading and aren't afraid to separate from the pack with original thought.

Thank you so much for saying this.

Definitely a great strategy. Just to clarify, for something like this, it's not a straddle correct? Simply just a naked call or put but half position?

Brilliant Bankroll Management Advice Greg! Bravo!

Mr. Mannarino, I value your perspective and straightforward delivery highly. If you operated an investment portfolio, I would feel very confident about investing with you.

I very much enjoyed this tutorial on half-positions. If you found yourself with an opportunity, could you make a similar tutorial about short-selling? Honestly, I have a gift for picking losers. Not sure if that's depressing or not...

I bet he will want a lot of money to work with to guarantee his hedge fund career isn't short lived. Reputation is everything, guard it with your life. 48 Laws man! This stock/bond/short/put stuff is on another level than me so I could never do it short term. I am all about the medium and long term and mostly avoiding losses and minimizing wasted income potentials. This is what happens when you are on the iPad at 1:20am.

In enjoying the knowledge Gregory. I'm new to the game but soaking up the info asap.

Great post, in a past life I was a commodities trader and it turned my stomach to watch people crash and burn there. Definitely not for the faint of heart!

It happens to so many.

Rule one, Rules!
Thanks, GM!

Good post!!
Too bad it took me almost a year of being Trader A before I finally became a trader like you

getting paid to post??whaaat

wow. interesting. but i don't even know what a "half" position means :I guess I have to start at the beginning regarding investments... well, duh.

Thanks for the post!

Gregory,
Great article! Do you always buy "in the money" about three months out?

Great to see candid commentary that's not been whitewashed by the mainstream media.

Right on target, Greg. As always. Rule nr one (money management) is the most important in trading . It is also the hardest to follow. I know from experience.

Uhmmm, if trader A & Greg won first, and lost later, then Trader A would come out better off (but i won't do the maths)

 7 years ago  Reveal Comment