8 days ago I published a video blog titled "Is The Rally In Bonds About To End? And What Does It Mean For The Markets?" Click here: https://steemit.com/money/@marketreport/video-is-the-rally-in-bonds-about-to-end-and-what-does-it-mean-for-the-markets-by-gregory-mannarino
Since that time we have seen a significant amount of cash leave the bond market pushing yields higher moreover, stocks have fallen under pressure as well. This market dynamic has the potential to play out much more dramatically as the Fed. seems to be determined to continue raising rates and normalize their abnormal balance sheet. (This rising rate environment will also impact home prices to the downside in my opinion).
Today we are seeing a big spike in market volatility, and a weaker dollar.
Gold and Silver derivatives are also under pressure.
We need to continue to watch the movement of cash leaving the bond market.
Just as the Federal Reserve's artificially suppressing of interest rates for the better part of a decade has caused stocks and real estate to reach bubble territory, rising rates have the potential to pop both the stock market, and real estate bubbles.
Continue to "bet against the debt" and "become your own central bank."
Gregory Mannarino
Buying one ounce .999 silver, for under $20, make that $18, is easy for me to understand.
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Taking a dive today? Looks that way. Fun times in the casino of paper............
I don't even want to think about this anymore. It's so crazy, it boggles the mind. I've recently decided to just stick to silver, gold, and cryptos. I am putting 10% in physical, 20% on paper, 25% on juniors, 20% on major miners, 10% on cryptos, and the rest is just kept in cash. I am young so I can wait and am not worried about the precious metal market going down.
Thats a good plan but if the markets shut down you have to be willing to take your 65% loss. More in physical and major cryptos and less on the stocks may be better in the long term because you will always have access to that investment. Just a thought
I agree with ptroup, but also remember you can't eat metals or paper...put away some grub and a way to keep yourself safe and warm with plenty of water. Even if it's just a few months worth. Believe me...you'll sleep better at night.
This market is showing how rigged it is with metals and the dollar moving in tandem. This drives conservative buyers to the market for the real fraud to happen.
It's very strange that the Dollar Gold are moving in the same direction. And stock market are not doing well so.
Yes. Very strange. One would almost be "forced" to assume that if the dollar continues to break lower then the gold miners will eventually (in short order) begin to rally. But what if the dollar turns higher? The dollar certainly has staged some "surprise attacks" via strong rallies through UUP $26.
UUP on the brink of a buy signal and so is the HUI goldbug index. You are almost "forced" to assume that the relationship of them both going in the same direction at the ame time will end soon. But what if the dollar rallies? Any stackers here going to panic? :O
http://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/advchart/frames/frames.asp?show=&insttype=Fund&symb=uup&x=56&y=20&time=18&startdate=1%2F4%2F1999&enddate=2%2F18%2F2017&freq=7&compidx=aaaaa%3A0&comptemptext=&comp=none&ma=0&maval=9&uf=0&lf=1024&lf2=2&lf3=8&type=2&style=320&size=4&timeFrameToggle=false&compareToToggle=false&indicatorsToggle=false&chartStyleToggle=false&state=11
I wouldn't consider a new long in UUP until 24.71 gets taken out. SLV is "on teh brink" of a new low for this move also. Anyone want to "guess" what happens next? :-)
http://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/advchart/frames/frames.asp?show=&insttype=&symb=slv&x=53&y=8&time=18&startdate=1%2F4%2F1999&enddate=2%2F18%2F2017&freq=7&compidx=aaaaa%3A0&comptemptext=&comp=none&ma=0&maval=9&uf=0&lf=1024&lf2=2&lf3=8&type=2&style=320&size=4&timeFrameToggle=false&compareToToggle=false&indicatorsToggle=false&chartStyleToggle=false&state=11
I just gave my personal update at my blog about what I think happens next with SLV. You can read the previous two trades made in the past 2 weeks also. No need to "guess"...go see what I said. :-)
Thanks for the constant education!! I'm becoming my own central bank except I don't steal from others haha!
let hope the trickle turns into a torrent my friend, thanks for sharing.
I love your catch phrase...
"Become your own central bank."
I am waiting and watching for more info on each market. I also now pay attention to the cryptocurrencies now and I followed your advice into this Steemit.
This seems to be a great platform.
Thanks for the post
Me too!!!
I live in Las Vegas, and I've been betting against the debt since I turned 21...lol...
Actually, I've been stacking silver since before you were born... I have a couple
of brand new rolls of Silver Dimes that I bought at the Bank in 1964...
Have a nice day...
@pocketechange
Silver dimes are much more valuable that the bullion they contain. Numismatic coins will likely still lose value unless collectors continue to be willing to pay a premium and imo the premiums right now are still too high. general rule of thumb? >>> Everything gets cut in half from "current" pricing. Wait for sub $25000 MSRP on trucks now selling at $50K...and sitting on dealer lots for 8 months now...that'll be bottom I guess. :-)
I looked up the 1964-D Dimes and the ones in top condition when I checked can be worth $10,000.00 each in MS67 Graded Condition... I have two rolls of those dimes... But I'm not a professional grader... I just rechecked... Looks like the price came down to around 5,000 each in MS68 Condition... I stand corrected... I have no clue what condition they'd grade at... All I know is that they were brand new rolls when I got them at the Bank...
@pocketechange
Let's hope it crashes and burns Greg, thanks mate.
Thanks for the info @marketreport. I have also began to diversify into cryptos, some small start-ups, and of course silver. Good information!
Greg Thanks for the info but I l thought you were going to take off until Friday?
From my video blog.
You missed absolutely nothing by taking a few days off. There aren't really any good trading setups...pretty much everything still needs work. I sold my VIX calls yesterday and "coulda" generated another $55 per contract by waiting another day. So it is very difficult to get it eggzactly right. I think tomorrow will be a very interesting day. VIX 7/21 $11 call contract still didn't match the high set last Th. I'm wondering if it is the "ultimate" target before the computers turn the markets higher. Gold vs dollah getting very interesting and could become very nerve racking for anyone who is "long and hoping" either silver or gold..."physical" of course. You can be off on an assessment of "paper" gold via GDX by 20%...and still make $$$ if your Ty Ming is at least "moderately" accrut. :-) I'm still updating GDX and SLV. Nobody will get crushed following me. I can almost put the word "guaranteed" on every box I ship out to customers. :-)
http://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/advchart/frames/frames.asp?show=&insttype=&symb=vix&x=54&y=5&time=18&startdate=1%2F4%2F1999&enddate=2%2F18%2F2017&freq=7&compidx=aaaaa%3A0&comptemptext=&comp=none&ma=0&maval=9&uf=0&lf=1024&lf2=2&lf3=8&type=2&style=320&size=4&timeFrameToggle=false&compareToToggle=false&indicatorsToggle=false&chartStyleToggle=false&state=11
Great post as usual greg. thanks for take the time to give us your insight. I am following you now follow me too.
Thanx for the update. It's really difficult for me to keep up with all the nuances of the market.
I wish I had not bought silver and gold so many years ago, sure is cheap now.
I wish I would have got involved with silver long ago. Back when the Hunt Bros were manipulating it. I remember it being $6.00 an oz. Yeah... I'm old :-)
You'll get silver at $8 for sure and if the laast wave of selling is "panic" selling ...like it always is when people "finally" give up...don't be "shocked!" to see $6. But SLV to $8 is already >>> Assured by past history. :O
Yes, bet against the debt.
nice post and good information ,,, you have good blog , Good luck. Comrade
Follow back me Bro 😃
Done.
stocks up or down, dollar up or down, or even war, gold and silver goes down, so ridiculous
Things seem to be moving now .. thanks greg for the update
Grabs popcorn and waits patiently, lets raise them rates...
What the Fed does is immaterial to what the markets do. Fed can't even influence "market driven" rates. If it could then treasury bond rates would have risen after the most recent Fed funds rate hike. "Market driven" rates actually dropped though. Why is that do you think? Manipulation? The only thing not manipulated is bitcoin...right? :-)
this is a turning point ...
We are living interesting times! great post mate!
Nice article @marketreport, upvoted and followed! I'm also writing stuff about stocks and can you give your opinion on my article (click here). It's about an oil exploration stock.
I want to share some thoughts with fellow traders and investors who know what they are talking about. Thank you!
Protect yourself people. Become your own central banker. Get hard assets. Gold silver land and food. Get some steem and crypto But somehow we need to ween ourselves away from the casino market. It will bankrupt us if we allow it to. Develop relationships with real people you can count on. Grow those friendships. They are a truly priceless investment whose dividends pay over a lifetime. And relationships cannot be taxed or manipulated unlike the markets...when you are dealing with REAL people.
Bitcoin is the biggest casino out there. STEEM didn't even return to the price it hit once "sales restrictions" were taken off of the initial wave of "curators"....did STEEM come anywhere close to the $4+ it set at the last multi-year high during this most recent "idiot ramp" in the cryptos? >>> Nope! Why not? You tell me why.
Bet against the debt! love the phrase, great advise in the long run!
You forgot to add >>> "...unless it's a large unsecured debt on a Capital One credit card. Then load up on it. Free money, peeps." :-) That's ass-ooming Capital One won't be able to address the situation in a court of law...i.e....come after you to collect. And of course they will be too broke to even try.
http://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/advchart/frames/frames.asp?show=&insttype=Stock&symb=cof&x=60&y=22&time=13&startdate=1%2F4%2F1999&enddate=2%2F18%2F2017&freq=1&compidx=aaaaa%3A0&comptemptext=&comp=none&ma=0&maval=9&uf=0&lf=1024&lf2=2&lf3=8&type=2&style=320&size=4&timeFrameToggle=false&compareToToggle=false&indicatorsToggle=false&chartStyleToggle=false&state=11
Greg thanks for all the info that you provide keep up the goo work
Market crashing, housing bubble ready to pop, Korea shooting ICBM's China, Russia, Isis, ..SHTF!
So which is it? Inverted yield curve or higher yields?
Click here, tell me what you think after watching it. https://steemit.com/money/@marketreport/video-is-the-rally-in-bonds-about-to-end-and-what-does-it-mean-for-the-markets-by-gregory-mannarino