The real problem with statistics is that it is very easy to have the maths saying anything you want. Very nice example with the disease (an Homer). First time I see it :)
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The real problem with statistics is that it is very easy to have the maths saying anything you want. Very nice example with the disease (an Homer). First time I see it :)
It really is. You can spin it in any way to your favor. Unless you're paying attention or can actually get the data, you can completely fall into the trap. The example of the risk 'doubling' is a perfect example of that. It makes it sound much more of a concern than it really was...it went from a 0.00014 chance to a 0.00028 chance...it's really an insignificant difference.
This recalls me something. Someone was fighting to reduce a source of uncertainties on a prediction from 10% to 5%. It is nice, in principle, except when the dominant source of uncertainties corresponds to a 50% error.
Lake Titicaca.....Nicaragua! Aqua! For my bunghole....
Sorry?
Well, maybe not :D
Do you have T.P. for my bunghole? I would hate for my bungholio to get polio.
Please try eating 5 fruits a day. It could help!