I just pay attention to the integrity within the people who hold power in a system because this is the root of how successful and productive the system will be. If people are obviously lying and manipulating, especially in a self serving way, then the results are going to be easy to predict over time. We are at a time of transformation and need to leave these dysfunctional ways and people in the dust.
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Which I think Hive/Steem will never take off in the way they "could".
I suspect that a few key developments that empower a wide variety of people to run layer 2 projects in ways that really are quite isolated might be enough to shift things around, but we'll see.
layer one is broken
you can't build a house on a cracked foundation