Rising Star Game: Frustrated by Probabilities

I have been playing the Rising Star game on Hive for over 4 years

This is the kind of idle game, and it does not include any period of extreme excitation like there is that I like. You can play it every day for a long time and it does not include any period of extreme excitation as there are in first-person shooter games.

There are plenty of different things that you can do in the Rising Star game, and I have done most of those.

If you have never played this game, I recommend that you try it.

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Of course, as in many other idle games, you may accelerate your progress if you spend money (that is Hives of HBDs). This is not my goal: I want to play the game spending as little money as possible.

To be more interesting, I give myself some challenges.

The first one is to claim 100 times the daily achievements.

As you can see, I already claimed 64, so in 36 days I will complete this challenge, as I know how to get the 6 daily achievements every day.

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My second challenge is to "complete" the Halloween Fair.

There are currently 9 "fairs" in Rising Star. 4 are permanent: Drum Fair, Guitar Fair, Keyboard Fair, and Production Fair. 5 are time-sensitive: Christmas Fair, Valentine Fair, Easter Fair, Summer Fair, and Halloween Fair.

In all of these fairs, you can get different NFTs. There are 36 different kinds of NFTs in each fair. My goal for each of these fairs is to get at least one of each of the 36 NFTs; this is what I mean to "complete" a fair.

I have already reached this goal in 4 of the 9 fairs: Drum, Guitar, Keyboard, Production, and Christmas Fairs.

Each NFT is made of 4 different parts, one of each of 4 different categories.

In the current Halloween Fair, the categories are Bodies, Engines, Coffins, and Wings.

You get one part when you complete a 5-minute mission. Each of the parts has a different probability of appearing at the end of the 5-minute mission. The 4 less probable parts in the different categories are HearsePurpleBody, HearseMonsterEngine, HearseVampireBody, and HearseMonsterWings. I believe that the probability for each of these parts is 1% or less.

To complete this fair, I will need to get 12 HearsePurpleBody, 12 HearseMonsterEngine, 18 HearseVampireBody, and 18 HearseMonsterWings.

To complete a fair, without buying some of the NFTs from other players, you need to play from 1,800 to 2,200 5-minute missions. So, on average, you get one HearseVampireBody or HearseMonsterWings every 100 to 120 missions. Yesterday night, after more than 750 missions, I had gotten only 3 HearseVampireBody and 3 HearseMonsterWings: only one of each for 250 missions. That is why I was frustrated.

I know that it is expected to have long sequences of missions where you get nothing of what you want to get. I am not saying that there is something wrong with the game.

This morning, I got 6 HearseMonsterWings in less than 3 hours

So now, on average, I got 1 HearseMonsterWings for 90 missions: much better.

I expect to complete the Halloween Fair in 2 to three weeks if I continue to play the same number of missions every day and if the Halloween Fair is still playable during that period.

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-- Vincent Celier

Posted Using InLeo Alpha