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RE: How Much for Diamond Axewoman?! (WARNING: MATH ENCLOSED!)

in Gods On Chain3 years ago

I think the exponential costs of forging is likely closer to the reality (might even be more harsh than you are suggesting). I don't believe a 0.5 ETH floor is likely for diamond axewoman (though I hope I'm wrong). The floor for Diamond legends in DO is hovering around 0.25 ETH at the moment and thats with a limited supply of these. Assuming forging opens up you could in theory have an unlimited supply of diamond axewomen ultimately the market will reach some sort of equilibrium I believe the markup will end up being slightly above the $GODS cost to forge it. Might can get to 0.5 ETH if it costs 1000 $GODS to forge however if costs are that high that will greatly limit the amount that can be forged. Also interested to see if they make flux relevant with higher shine forging. Either way its pretty much a shot in the dark right now.

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There is not unlimited Axewomans, in fact there are far fewer than DO diamonds! They can pop up in numbers every time they enter the Star Store, but it would take a year of someone's life to get 1 diamond. Right now that's just nearly impossible since most people haven't played a full year. There are approximately 20k Meteorite Axewomen out there I think (I feel like it was 16k), someone posted the numbers somewhere recently. Most will be scattered and therefore not forged. Let's say about 20 of them make it into diamonds, that's pretty rare.

If 20 make a diamond thats still more than the current supply of nearly all DO diamond legends. At the moment I have aronud 750k dust, could in theory make 3 diamonds yet I've only ever opened 1 diamond legendary in a pack. Hard to say the general idea if they actually sell at 0.5 ETH that will encourage more people to forge them more people to buy meteorite to sell on the market. Day one will someone overpay for a diamond axewoman? Its possible. I'm looking more at long-term prices and they will reach an equilibrium that makes sense at some point and unless $GODS costs is so high I just dont see it eclipsing diamond legends.

Vanguard Axewoman can be used in literally every deck, most DO leggys are very trash. We shall see! Curious for your price prediction.