The Supply Shock

Well this is nothing new, we expected this, the eventual supply shock due to the Land Cards have hit Praetoria. It was quick and readily visible in the wood supply curve below. It is easy to demonstrate with wood and so I am using it as an example.

Above is the Total Supply Plot for wood in Praetoria. Notice, just before the introduction of the Land cards we have hit the max supply (till date) of wood in Praetoria at 867M total wood stash. Then came the demand shock, for the rare land card Kinbound Druid, which was crafted using Cinder + Wood. Therefore the net supply dropped to 454M, which I have covered here. That is a 47% drop in the total supply! It was the max drop for any resources in Praetoria. So the price responded too by going 2X Factor!

At the high 1000 wood sold for 150 DEC on Dec 09, 2025! Just 20 days later, it is now trading at 1000 wood for 66 DEC! Why? Because look at the slope of the supply curve for wood.

The yellow arrows represented the rate of production of wood previously. You can see there was some minor departure from the constant slope, but before the introduction to the land cards, they were mostly constant (given the active plots remained more or less constant).

Now look at the different between the slope of Orange arrow (current production rate) vs. the previous production rate, it is about 2X change of rate. We are currently producing nearly 13M wood surplus every day in Praetoria. At this rate we hit and blast through the max supply on Jan 20, 2026!

What follows: We need another major demand shock in January, otherwise prices will remain soft. Let us hope for a January Miracle!