Social media + gaming are our chance to step outside of the four year cycle of BTC halving. That is why I invest in and wish for the success of the things we are building on HIVE. There is another 4 year cycle with the money supply I have seen some analysts talk about. It is not as deterministic as BTC halving. I still consider it as worth keeping an eye on as there is a clear correlation with asset prices and money supply (global).
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It's one of them. But something that breaks the barrier between crypto and fiat and becomes a link between the two worlds through tokenization at big scale has a higher chance of breaking the cycle, imo.
I didn't know it forms a 4-year cycle, but global liquidity levels have often been correlated with risk-on assets. The question is which influences which. Does flight to safety grow the money supply while reducing the prices of risk-on assets? I think so. Does a move toward risk-on assets reduce money supply and increase the prices of risk-on assets? I think that's logical too. So, to me, the two cycles seem correlated.