Musk has teased that a third generation of the humanoid robot, described as "something really special," will be complete by the end of this year. This aligns with his statement that it typically takes three iterations before new technology is ready for mass market production.
Production Ramp-Up Potential
Tesla's experience in ramping up car production provides a useful benchmark. From 2018 to 2023, Tesla increased its annual car production from about 245,000 units to 1.8 million units - a growth of over 1.5 million units in just five years. Given that robot production is likely to be less complex than car manufacturing, and considering Tesla's accumulated production expertise, achieving a similar ramp-up for humanoid robots seems plausible.