A realistic prediction for Alonso’s next deal would seem way closer to the Athletic’s projection rather than the hefty projection by Sportstrac. Netting a deal larger or equal to the one that Freddie Freeman signed (six-year deal worth $162 million; $27 million annually) seems unrealistic. Granted, Freeman did sign the deal at 32 years old, and Alonso will only be 29/30. However, throughout his career Freeman has been a comfortably better player than Alonso has been.

With all that being said, the power Alonso possesses is rare. Despite the down season, he’s still only 30 years old. There is no reason to believe that he can’t get back closer to his career averages after a “career-worst” year where he still slugged over 30 homers and had an above-average OPS.

Final Verdict: Six-year deal worth $151.5 million ($25.25 million annually)