Tesla would be fine if the credit disappeared, but other companies like General Motors, Ford, and Rivian would likely feel its impact severely.

Dan Ives of Wedbush even said in notes to investors that Tesla would be fine without the tax credit being established:

“EV tax credits getting pulled a negative for the industry….bullish for Tesla. We believe a Trump presidency will be an overall negative for the EV industry as very likely the EV rebates/tax incentives get pulled, however for Tesla we see this as a potential positive with some caveats. Tesla has the scale and scope that is unmatched in the EV industry and this dynamic could give Musk and Tesla a clear competitive advantage in a non-EV subsidy environment starting in 2025, coupled by likely higher China tariffs that would continue to push away cheaper Chinese EV players (BYD, Nio, etc.) from flooding the US market over the coming years.”