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Part 1/8:

The Jacksonville Jaguars' Tumultuous 2024 Season and Future Challenges

The Jacksonville Jaguars faced another disappointing season in 2024, finishing with a 4-13 record, which marked their 15th missed playoff appearance in 17 years. The season’s opening game was indicative of their struggles, as they lost a narrow contest against the Miami Dolphins, 20-17. The Jaguars led 17-7 in the third quarter but saw their fortunes change dramatically after a costly fumble by running back Travis Etienne. This moment framed the overall narrative of the Jaguars’ season—unfulfilled potential and missed opportunities.

Coaching Changes and Uncertainty

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The Jaguars' front office was rife with speculation regarding head coach Doug Peterson’s future. It became apparent that Peterson’s job was in jeopardy — culminating in his eventual firing after the season. The team’s leadership also made a contentious decision that raised eyebrows across the league: retaining general manager Trent Baalke. This choice has the potential to haunt the franchise in the years to come, as it sets a rocky foundation for the Jaguars' future endeavors.

The AFC South Landscape

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The AFC South division proved to be lackluster in 2024, with teams collectively struggling. The Jaguars, along with the Tennessee Titans, contributed significantly to the division's woes with a combined total of 27 losses. Each team now possesses top-five picks in the approaching 2025 NFL draft, emphasizing the need for a fresh start. Unlike the Jaguars, the Titans opted to part ways with their general manager, Rand Carthon, while keeping head coach Brian Callahan. In stark contrast, the Jaguars’ decision to hold on to Baalke raises concerns about the franchise's direction.

The Continuation of a Familiar Pattern

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Since owner Shad Khan’s acquisition of the team in 2012, the Jaguars have had only two general managers: Baalke and Dave Caldwell. With multiple seasons filled with double-digit losses, many perceived Baalke’s retention as a limiting factor for the franchise’s future success.

When seeking to recruit a promising head coach like Mike Vrabel or Ben Johnson, the presence of Baalke—who retains ultimate authority over draft selections—may serve as a deterrent. It creates an alarming scenario where a potential head coach may feel handcuffed by a general manager with a less-than-stellar track record.

Draft Decisions and Their Implications

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The Jaguars’ 2024 draft raised further questions regarding Baalke’s judgment. The selection of defensive tackle Mason Smith, who struggled considerably in his rookie season, stood out as a poor decision. Critics argue there were several more talented players available, illustrating a pattern of taking excessive risks on players who may not deliver results.

Conversely, the draft strategy that included selecting wide receiver Brian Thomas Jr. has been viewed more favorably. Not only did the Jaguars acquire Thomas, but they also traded back, allowing them to gain valuable draft capital for the future. This strategy proved successful, especially in acquiring a player who emerged as a standout talent before even completing his rookie season.

An Anemic Offensive Strategy

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The decline in team performance also raises concerns about the Jaguars' offensive management. Despite entering the season with an 8-3 record in 2023, the Jaguars stumbled through the remainder of that season and into 2024, accumulating a dismal 5-18 record over 23 games. The quarterback play, coupled with poor team decisions, has left many questions regarding the effectiveness of Baalke and the old coaching staff.

Reflection on Future Prospects

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Despite the struggles, retaining Trevor Lawrence provides a glimmer of hope for the Jaguars. With Lawrence still early in his career and showing flashes of promise, he remains a substantial asset that could attract potential head coaching candidates. The key moving forward is to find a coach aligned with Lawrence’s strengths and improve the overall team dynamics.

Conclusion: A Fork in the Road

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In conclusion, the Jaguars find themselves at a crucial point in their franchise history. By retaining Trent Baalke, they may have limited their options for finding a head coach who can effectively harness Trevor Lawrence’s potential. As the team heads into the offseason with a top-five draft pick, they must navigate these challenges wisely, or risk extending their current woes into further seasons of disappointment. The future is uncertain, but Jacksonville must act decisively to revitalize its roster and reestablish itself as a competitive force in the AFC South.