The important thing to note with China is not the actual numbers. As you quite rightly say, they are usually fabrications. What the authorities tend to take into account though is trends. And the demographic trend in China is most certainly worrying for the authorities. The one-child-policy has always been insane and it is now coming home to roost.
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3 years later and still has come home to roast. The anti china propaganda from fellow Americans is just that propaganda.