This is how I find closure when speculating for the future and being present:
If this blows up what's the last amount you want to hold?
For Leo/hive my threshold is 1000 units. That's my safety net.
When I do sell my token it is never because of price (I think that's very myopic). If I sell it is because I need to for basic things. Thus, it is a primary goal of mine to get to a level where I don't need to sell.
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