Industry Leaders' AGI Predictions

Several prominent figures in the AI field have made bold predictions about the timeline for achieving artificial general intelligence:

Sam Altman's Vision

In his September 2024 blog post "The Intelligence Age," OpenAI CEO Sam Altman suggested that superintelligence might be possible "in a few thousand days." While this timeline could span from three to ten years, it represents a remarkably short horizon for such a transformative development. Altman describes this potential achievement as "the most consequential fact about all of history so far."