We can if you like - I didn't want to make it stressful because I'm taking so many big bets on cryptos at the moment that I need light relief.
It's a drop in the ocean, but if I lose 10 Hive I'll go "LOL, I should have shut my pie hole" but if I lose 100 and Hive goes up to $5 I'll probably think "bugger, I just chucked away $500 by being a cocky prick..." (I'm picking Hive to go up to $5 and Leo to $7 in the next year)
On the other hand I'm reasonably confident of winning this, so it should be fun! OK, lets run with 100 Hive. OK with you if I do a blog post about this? - I'm curious to see which side of the fence other people would be on.
"if you get an 11% decline in Q1 but only an 8% decline in Q2 I win?"
Yes, sticking within this definition of a depression, that would only be a recession - America is already in recession now, so it wouldn't be much of a bet - yes I would only win if it declines more than 10% two quarters in a row. And I'm still confident! (even though I can lose this bet on April 1, but you can't)
Yep, do a post on it. I'd love to hear others input as well. I like the terms. Thanks for coming up with that! Btw, here's a vote that should help with the cost a bit should I win. ;)
We can if you like - I didn't want to make it stressful because I'm taking so many big bets on cryptos at the moment that I need light relief.
It's a drop in the ocean, but if I lose 10 Hive I'll go "LOL, I should have shut my pie hole" but if I lose 100 and Hive goes up to $5 I'll probably think "bugger, I just chucked away $500 by being a cocky prick..." (I'm picking Hive to go up to $5 and Leo to $7 in the next year)
On the other hand I'm reasonably confident of winning this, so it should be fun! OK, lets run with 100 Hive. OK with you if I do a blog post about this? - I'm curious to see which side of the fence other people would be on.
"if you get an 11% decline in Q1 but only an 8% decline in Q2 I win?"
Yes, sticking within this definition of a depression, that would only be a recession - America is already in recession now, so it wouldn't be much of a bet - yes I would only win if it declines more than 10% two quarters in a row. And I'm still confident! (even though I can lose this bet on April 1, but you can't)
Yep, do a post on it. I'd love to hear others input as well. I like the terms. Thanks for coming up with that! Btw, here's a vote that should help with the cost a bit should I win. ;)
Thanks - yeah, I started thinking if we both do blog posts about it, we could probably cover some of the potential loss anyway!
Well you could, I won't need to :)
Haha! I like it. Regarding the trash talk... I like the fact that the government's projections could be off by 90% and I will still win. :)
The joys of being a contrarian - never fear long odds!
I'll probably do a post on the bet tomorrow, let me know when you drop your post so I can be sure to throw it a vote!
Will do!
Here it is - go hard, you know you want to :)
https://peakd.com/hive-167922/@frot/taking-a-huge-gamble-on-hive