I think the 4 year cycle won't last forever. I hope it stays around for longer, but with the ETFs, I just don't see that being the case. The big financial institutions have a reason to manipulate prices if they need to now.
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I tend to believe big institutional players (probably except pension funds, assurance companies, and some countries), like the high volatility and even the widely-known cycle, because they can make more money this way by providing the infrastructure for investors to gamble.