A running case study from Nov 22, 2025 → now
Mapped before noise. Executed before hype.
And now the echo plays out.
Since Nov 22, 2025, Codex has documented structure in real time —
small signals, clean observations, one continuous chronology.
Everyone I tagged along the way has watched this unfold.
Each update aligned.
Every breadcrumb pointed to the same picture.
Nov 22, 2025 — Codex VIII
The day after the Nov 21 bottom.
The bounce was mapped.
BTC and ETH spot and long‑entry locations were shared.
The roadmap for the coming weeks was outlined — before price resolved.
For entry screenshots see link:
https://ecency.com/hive-167922/@digi-me/codex-viii-another-trick-the
Dec 10, 2025 — Follow‑Up
Structure played out exactly as documented.
Update was posted directly in the thread as the market progressed.
For follow‑up screenshots see link:
https://ecency.com/hive-167922/@digi-me/codex-brief-follow-up-codex
Update:
BTC hit 98k and ETH hit 3.4k before a clean pullback.
In my view, this was the final retest of the 100‑week MA before the last push. Upside target remains the 50‑week MA — the classic LH zone. Invalidation close below 100-week MA.
Screenshots (results only):
Jan 1, 2026 — HIVE PUD
Hive’s second bullish divergence was documented.
A relief bounce was foreshadowed — it played out, then pulled back with BTC.
As noted in the PUD post:
Every bullish divergence marked a bottom until price touched the daily 200MA to form a lower high. If history repeats, a bounce toward the 200MA (≈$0.17) remains likely.
If we fail to reach it before a new low, that would be the first deviation in years — weakness, not strength.
Link:
https://ecency.com/hive-122221/@digi-me/hive-power-up-day-1-a2471daaa4cf8
Screenshot:
source
Jan 2, 2026 — WAXP Case Study
Shared inside the PUD comment thread.
The same structure appeared across multiple alts — eg FET, SUI all echoed the model. Only WAXP was shown, but the picture was clear for anyone paying attention.
For entry screenshot see link:
https://ecency.com/hive-122221/@digi-me/re-mypathtofire-202612t234855415z
Screenshots (results only):
Update:
Same outlook holds.
If BTC completes its final rally, alts should follow into the LH outlined in Codex VIII. See Codex VIII for the macro roadmap.
Most alts have now pulled back to the 0.786 retracement — as long as that level holds, the next target is the 200‑day MA, mirroring BTC’s structure.
Why This Matters
This was never “buy this.”
It was rhythm.
Bounce documented.
Follow‑up confirmation.
HIVE divergence.
WAXP as a concrete example.
The rest of the market echoed the same structure.
The breadcrumbs were there.
Anyone could assemble the puzzle — and act on their own understanding.
The log doesn’t lie — it either repeats, or it doesn’t.
Where Codex Continues
Codex is now being archived on Substack.
• Public posts remain free and document market structure as it unfolds.
• You can subscribe with email only — no account needed.
• Substack simply sends a notification when a new public post is published.
As mentioned in the Codex Brief Follow‑Up, an early-backer tier is now live:
50% lifetime discount, available until paid tiers officially launch.
Intro post (live):
https://codexbrief.substack.com/p/codex-genesis-mapping-the-rhythm
Subscribe / pledge page:
https://codexbrief.substack.com/subscribe
The full chronology continues there.
The next chapter is already being documented — the LH.
Codex Brief is about value → monetization → freedom.
Value for readers, freedom for me to keep archiving rhythm — clean, consistent, and sustainable.
Coming Next
The next post on Substack is the bridge:
Codex Brief 1 — Wave 4, CME Gap, and the Final Pump.
In that post, I show the full wavecount that has played out so far —
mapped against the 2022 fractal, step by step.
I also go through my updated projection for when the B‑top may land.
In Codex VIII I worked with a 60‑day window from the bottom — now that we’ve moved beyond it, the fractal and wavecount point toward a more precise timeframe.
And after that comes the chapter I’ve been preparing since Codex VIII —
the next pivot: the LH and the B‑peak.
Unless BTC closes below the 100‑week MA, the B‑peak remains intact.
A break beneath it would confirm the opposite — a completed B‑top and the start of the C‑leg. (For a visual of the ABC move I’m tracking, see the cover image in Codex VIII.)
Edge isn’t prediction — it’s recognition.
Codex works the opposite way — proof, not persuasion.
I write before.
I revisit after.
Price confirms my memory — or proves me wrong.
© 2025 Codex Research.
All proprietary content, analysis, format and structure are protected.
Redistribution requires written permission.
Not financial advice.
Tradejournal Links (Private Archive)
These aren’t signals. They’re echoes — timestamps left behind in my private journal. Codex is memory in motion, and these links are the proof. For my own reference.
🔗 BTC/ETH HL entry (Nov 22) — shared in Codex VIII
🔗 BTC/ETH Result snapshot (Nov 26) — both played out
🔗 BTC/ETH Result snapshot (Jan 14)
🔗 BTC/ETH Spot Result snapshot (Jan 14)
🔗 Altcoin thread entry/results
Please do follow if you want to keep up with my next post. Any upvotes or reblogs are hugely appreciated!
Latest post, check out :
🌀 Codex Brief Follow‑Up: Codex VIII Delivered
Christopher
Kristiansand, Norway
Source: Photos are chart-screenshots by me from Tradingview.com and screenshots from my personal trading journal.
Legal Disclaimer : Never invest more than what you can afford to lose. I am not a financial advisor and I am sharing my opinion based on speculation. This post is for informational purposes only and provides only my personal opinion. If you make any trades after reading this post, it is completely in your responsibility. I am not responsible for any of your losses. By reading this post you acknowledge and accept that.
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Incredible! Re-reading all the posts from Nov 22 really does put everything in a clearer picture of how the market has progressed so far and most likely outcome from now.
I've read somewhere else but couldn't confirm myself that BTC will print a new ATH relatively soon. I just don't see the structure nor the momentum. For alts, there's a likely scenario that some will outperform while BTC chops sideways, I think the correlation is starting to decrease more between BTC and some of the majors. Interesting to hear your thoughts on this floating theory that any downside we have will be capped around the 74K region and not 50K for BTC before a bounce to ATH given we haven't had much of an explosive move to the upside?
Already subscribed on Substack. Let me know how to join the early backer tier or whatever other tier is available :)
🌀Tagging you all again @zekepickleman @ph1102 @mypathtofire @nenio @tobetada @iyanpol12 @libertycrypto27 @takhar @heroldius — this isn’t a new analysis, just a consolidated update on everything we’ve been tracking together over the past months.
The BTC and ETH spot zones and long entries from Codex VIII (the day after the bottom), the Hive structure from the PUD post, and the WAXP case we discussed in the comments — it’s all documented here in one continuous chronology, with the actual outcome laid out.
Curious how you read it now:
Does Hive still feel like it’s following the roadmap we’ve been discussing, or do you see signs of deviation in the structure?