The good run continues with a full unit profit (or at least close to 0.99 units) in week 23 where the main feeling about the market kind of remains the same in that the edge just feels small which mostly makes me take smaller bets. Many of them are also on the corners market which does feel like having a bigger edge still which also shows in the overall results on those as all the profit this season pretty much comes from them. The bigger bets continue to struggle which has hurt me this season and it feels like I'm just behind on them where most of the ones where there are odds that feel off some way or another end up playing out the way the asian market predicted them.
The difficulty about this is that it just makes me very uncertain with the result that it's hard to really get in good volume. I'm also still down slightly on the season which naturally makes me reduce risk as I rather avoid big losses than gamble to get big gains. It remains a multi-decade goal of beating the market and I need to be aware that there are times during this timespan where I don't have a real edge.
Pre-Game Preview Bets Season 2024-2025
I only had 1 fairly confident bet in the Europa League on Braga +0.5 @ 1.961 which I probably should have middle as the odds went up and they came 0-1 ahead. As it often goes, it never really looked like Union was going to make a comeback yet the match still ended ina 2-1 score which was really frustrating. This also dropped my confidence and because of that I lowered my stake on Cercle +0.5 which turned out in a winner.
Previous 4 Seasons Result
Aside from sharing my previews and bets on my Blog, I also cover all matches live in our SBC Discord Channel sharing all the bets I take. The main purpose is to stay sharp and keep myself accountable.
Season 2024-2025 Personal Betting Chart
Things are actually looking both good and bad as I continue to be in a nice uptrend and am close to being in the green again on the season. At the same time after 1000+ bets I didn't manage to make any profit and I'm far off from the expected profit line. At the same time this is nothing out of the ordinary but it's also clear that I don't simply don't have a 4%+ Edge on the market. I probably will reduced the % on the expected pink line next season. I staked just over 5 units and I likely will continue to keep it rather cautious even though I'm tempted to just slightly start increasing my stakes already.
Regular Season Results 2024-2025
Week 23 Results 47 Bets | 22W-11L-04P | Staked 05.249u | +0.990u Profit
Week 22 Results 44 Bets | 27W-17L-02P | Staked 05.294u | +0.657u Profit
Week 21 Results 56 Bets | 26W-27L-03P | Staked 06.321u | +0.499u Profit
Week 20 Results 25 Bets | 10W-14L-01P | Staked 02.263u | +0.349u Profit
Week 19 Results 50 Bets | 21W-21L-08P | Staked 04.752u | -0.138u Loss
Week 18 Results 46 Bets | 21W-24L-01P | Staked 04.646u | -0.238u Loss
Week 17 Results 49 Bets | 27W-16L-06P | Staked 05.230u | +1.264u Profit
Week 16 Results 21 Bets | 06W-11L-04P | Staked 02.753u | -0.936u Loss
Week 15 Results 45 Bets | 13W-29L-04P | Staked 04.665u | -0.149u Loss
Week 14 Results 46 Bets | 13W-29L-04P | Staked 04.962u | -1.2591u Loss
Week 13 Results 27 Bets | 08W-15L-04P | Staked 03.074u | -1.101u Loss
Week 12 Results 63 Bets | 39W-16L-08P | Staked 04.874u | +1.737u Profit
Week 11 Results 37 Bets | 14W-17L-06P | Staked 03.871u | -0.347u Loss
Week 10 Results 62 Bets | 19W-39L-04P | Staked 07.324u | -1.849u Loss
Week 09 Results 62 Bets | 30W-25L-07P | Staked 06.600u | +0.216u Profit
Week 08 Results 26 Bets | 16W-07L-03P | Staked 03.921u | +0.963u Profit
Week 07 Results 50 Bets | 21W-17L-12P | Staked 05.544u | +0.403u Profit
Week 06 Results 28 Bets | 14W-11L-03P | Staked 03.824u | +0.825u Profit
Week 05 Results 38 Bets | 14W-19L-05P | Staked 05.130u | -0.522u Loss
Week 04 Results 51 Bets | 18W-27L-06P | Staked 05.308u | -0.512u Loss
Week 03 Results 44 Bets | 13W-28L-04P | Staked 06.999u | -1.305u Loss
Week 02 Results 48 Bets | 22W-25L-01P | Staked 06.270u | -0.429u Loss
Week 01 Results 34 Bets | 11W-14L-09P | Staked 04.245u | +0.145u Profit
Week 00 Results 10 Bets | 05W-04L-01P | Staked 00.860u | -0.046u Loss
Total Season 2024-2025 Results
1011 Bets | 437W-463L-111P | 113.977u Staked | -0.687u Loss | -0.60% ROI
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