Part 10/15:
On the topic of nuclear war, Stubb offers a cautious perspective. He estimates the likelihood of nuclear escalation is below 1%, but underscores the importance of preparedness given Putin’s unpredictability. He dismisses fears of an imminent nuclear conflict, citing that such an act would be suicidal for Russia due to devastating Western retaliation and international taboo.
He also highlights that Putin has lost three critical pillars of his power: military strength, economic influence, and energy dominance, which restrain his willingness to escalate further. Hence, while vigilant, Stubb believes nuclear war remains an unlikely scenario.