Part 12/14:

This strategy echoes earlier Ukrainian efforts, such as successful attacks on Russian naval assets, air defenses, and critical logistics, which have gradually deteriorated Russia’s hold on Crimea. The recent escalation suggests Ukraine is moving from a phase of attritional attrition toward one of active siege and deterrence.

Strategic Significance and Future Outlook

This evolving Ukrainian campaign may mark the beginning of a new phase in the war—one in which Crimea is no longer a static administered territory, but a contested space subjected to persistent siege tactics. If successful, it could force Russia into costly defensive positions or prompt a de facto abandonment of Crimea, significantly altering the battlefield dynamics.