Part 7/8:
The Dilemma of Sovereignty
Lukashenko’s precarious position is reinforced by his simultaneous rejection of complete dependence on Moscow and his reliance on Russian support to maintain his authority. As pressure from Putin mounts, Lukashenko’s statements serve to placate national sentiment but also indicate an underlying struggle for true autonomy.
The Belarusian president faces an uncomfortable choice: either yield to Russian integration strategies or actively resist and risk backlash from both the Kremlin and his populace. With Belarus's sovereignty on the line, Lukashenko may find himself in a "Catch-22" situation that offers little room for maneuver without dire consequences.