Part 2/4:

There is a race happening right now, with people and organizations rushing to develop AGI as quickly as possible, often cutting corners on safety. Connor provides his personal timelines, suggesting a 30% probability of seeing an AGI system by 2027, 50% by 2030, and 99% by 2100, with a small chance that an AGI system has already been developed and is being kept secret.

Connor identifies several ideological drivers behind this race, including utopists who believe AGI will create a perfect utopia, zealots who want humanity to be replaced by AI, accelerationists who believe technology should be allowed to advance without regulation, and opportunists who are simply looking to make money. He argues that these ideologies, combined with the involvement of major tech companies, are fueling the dangerous push towards AGI development without adequate safeguards.

Building a Good Future

[...]