Part 2/3:

Despite these potential limits, the speaker remains bullish on the rapid advancement of powerful AI capabilities. By extrapolating the recent progress in areas like software engineering, graduate-level math, physics, and biology, the speaker suggests that these models could reach and surpass the highest professional human levels within a few years.

The speaker acknowledges that there are reasons to be skeptical about whether this exponential curve of progress will continue indefinitely. However, if the current trajectory holds, it could lead to the development of AI systems that far exceed human-level abilities in a relatively short timeframe.

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