Part 1/4:

The Shifting Sands of AI Progress

Questioning the Scaling Laws

The recent article from The Information has sparked a debate within the AI community about the future trajectory of language models. Some researchers at OpenAI reportedly believe that Orion, the company's next-generation model, may not reliably outperform its predecessor, GPT-4, in certain tasks such as coding.

This raises questions about the core assumption underlying the rapid progress of large language models (LLMs) - the scaling laws. The scaling laws posit that LLMs will continue to improve at a consistent pace as long as they have access to more data and computing power. However, the Orion situation suggests that this may not always be the case.

Shifting Paradigms

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