Everyone has already heard that Russia has adopted a law on mobilization, they call it partial.
The number in partial mobilization should reach 300,000 conscripts. It is clear that such a number of Russian troops is needed to restore the combat potential of the Russian army, which lost the opportunity to conduct offensive actions in Ukraine during the 7 months of war, and also lost those positions in the north of Ukraine that were captured. The meat of the Russian army in Ukraine was ground into minced meat.
Yesterday, the President of Ukraine, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, said that according to Ukrainian intelligence, which is confirmed information, the Russian Federation plans to call up 1 million Russian men for the war against Ukraine. Russia, in its usual manner, takes numbers. Nothing good for the peace process is currently in sight. One thing is clear, Russia wants to win this war at any cost, but will Russia survive such a war? Ukrainians have shown that they are not going to surrender and will defend their land despite their superiority in strength and numbers. Winter will not be easy.
Photos - https://t.me/glavcomua
Всі вже чули, що росія прийняла закон про мобілізацію, вони її називають частковою.
Кількість у частковій мобілізації має сягати 300 тисяч призовників. Зрозуміло, що така кількість військових росії потрібна для відновлення бойового потенціалу російської армії, яка втратила в Україні за 7 місяців війни можливість проводити наступальні дії, а також втратила ті позиції на півночі України, які були захоплені. М'ясо російської армії в Україні перемололося на фарш.
Вчора Президент України Володимир Зеленський повідомив, що за даними української розвідки, що є підтвердженою інформацією, російська федерація в планах має призвати 1 мільйон російських чоловіків для війни проти України. Росія у звичній для себе манері бере кількістю. Нічого хорошого для мирних процесів наразі не видно. Зрозуміло одне, росія хоче виграти цю війну за будь-яку ціну, але чи витримає росія таку війну? Українці показали, що не збираються здаватися, та будуть боронити свою землю попри їх переваги у силі та кількості. Зима буде не простою.
Цікаво, чи почнуть вони масово виходити та щось робити...
Тікають вони з парашії масово.
What was left of the Soviet-era mobilization system was dismantled by Minister of Defense Serdyukov over a decade ago. Russia does not have the facilities nor the personnel to bring a large number of reservists up to speed and to equip them very quickly. Much of the modern equipment that has been adequately maintained is already destroyed. Sanctions are not helping when it comes to manufacturing new equipment or repairing existing equipment. To a large degree, Russian artillery pieces are worn out and in need of an overhaul. The barrels are only good for so many rounds fired. Similarly, Soviet tank engines are kaputt only after about 1000 hours of use.
If Russia's goal is to shore up the personnel shortage in the coming weeks, it may be able to put more bodies to the front to help man the many understrength BTGs but the combat value of the newly conscripted men will be questionable.
Russia's supply system is struggling to adequately supply the existing manpower. Greatly expanding the manpower at the front would further complicate things.
If Ukraine continues to receive adequate supplies and maintenance from its partners, it should be able to inflict a lot of casualties and destroy a lot of equipment in the process.
The modern world is much less forgiving of the kind of abysmal leadership and lack of professionalism found in militaries like Russia's than in past centuries. This is due to the firepower, precision and accuracy of modern weapon systems. Russia no longer even has the numbers to make up for all of its flaws with senseless human wave attacks.
Not even tactical nukes would solve any of Russia's problems.
At the end of the day, the main problem will be whether Vladolf Putler is mad enough to use strategic nukes when he realizes he's facing an ignominious defeat and ouster/death and whether the chain of command will have a modern equivalent of Admiral Arhipov or a few to say fuck it and put the olm out of his misery should it come to that.