I think the answer to that question will be decided on the value of the airdropped SPS tokens. If SPS is being sold for more then expected I suspect we see an increase in SPT price. If SPS tanks its likely we see SPT drop back down to its past sales price. If the DEVS at Splinterlands give the token an in game use case I suspect SPT to increase drastically.
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I keep looking at the Axie governance token and can't imagine SPS will tank unless the whole market melts down. I agree, an in game use like leveling up a new guild building ( I'm still waiting for the announcement of Guild Casinos and Guild Banks) will drive the price of SPT through the roof.