It is normal that, as new information is available, the models change. The latest publication from Joannidis is based on a much more complete set of data, so I don´t care about his early predictions.

And when you say 200K and counting, please don´t forget that any death falls into this number, even terminal cases of cancer of patients who happen to get tested positive. Especially in the US where there is a financial benefit for having a Covid death vs. a non-Covid death.

Long term effects of Corona? Which ones?