I think your prices quoted are probably accurate at the moment. What I said was:
" if chemical agriculture was not a thing.... The price of good quality meat would be comparable to the price of a vegetarian diet."
And that is partially a thing because of the farm subsidies you mentioned. Your last bullet point I totally agree with.
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My prices were comparing organic agriculture to small scale organic, free range, grass fed animal agriculture. I think these prices will stay pretty much the same if chemical agriculture were not a thing.
I don't know. I think the huge market share that chemical and processed food holds really skews the market. I'm pretty sure there would be a huge change in prices if there was only local food, and more expensive exotic food.
But to be honest.... it is only speculation since we will never see a 100% overhaul unless there is a nuclear holocaust or some other really HUGE infrastructure changing event.
I guess if the only supply were small scale sustainable organic foods, the prices would change. But I’m not sure in which direction.