Hello, I believe the ICOs are not below market, but the market is in a big bubble. Are those tokens worth that price ? The answer is no, but people are investing like crazy in them because of hype. Uncapped ICOs will lead to the ICO market auto destruction in my opinion. The bubble will burst once everyone is uncapped, money supply is limited. You can't invest billions in each ICO.
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Market is what people are willing to pay, not what something is "worth" in your opinion.
In a bubble the market is out of sync with real values and people will pay "over the real market" prices because of greed with the only hope to make a quick buck. Tulips contracts were never worth what people paid for it, once the hype came down all the speculators were ruined. The same will happen here.
ICOs bubble will pop and the market will mature like internet did. In the mean time a lot of people will be ruined.
In a bubble the market price is out of sync with value, but fort he purpose of pricing an ICO market price is all that matters.
Yes I agree. Give them what they want until their wallets are empty. I would do the same. Its business not a charity :-)
The problem here is I don't think anyone knows what "real values" are for most of these ICOs yet. Tulips were a more proven entity.
There's also an interesting argument to be made that Tulip mania was rational, because the speculation was done in derivatives contracts which had a clause allowing the holder to pay a very small fee and not take delivery, ie just tear up the contract. Thus, the risk reward of the increasing value vs. the small fee to cancel the contract made tulip mania rational. It depends on how much you believe the financial records of the day.
Its the same as todays exchanges with forex and commodities, when I buy for 100K usd of silver I only need to put 5K down.
Right, buying on margin. I think these tulip contracts were allegedly more like call options with particularly low cost basis. There's an economist who wrote a paper on it, if you feel like googling.
Its kind of the same with cryptos. Look at ethereum, dropped from 360 usd to 13 usd because the guys from status ICO dumped 96K eth on the market all at once. The market cap is an illusion, a small dump can destroy the whole ecosystem.
Yeah, which illustrates how silly some of the taxation is - you can't just multiply stock by price. As you noted, the market cap is way, way smaller than the numbers claim.
Exactly :) Same here with upvotes, downvotes and whether certain post is "worth" its payout or not.
PS
Please, throw some ETAs, I'm not that patient to stare on telegram for days ;)
i pray for all
Do you know the value of some of these coins outside of their market cap evaluation? I'm wondering about the number of users, daily interactions or if the coins have any monetary value from products made by users.
Most are worth nothing or close to nothing. Its all speculation. 98% of todays blockchains will be dead in less than 3 years.
Yes, this is how I see it too. I'm looking for cryptocurrencies that have a business idea which utilizes blockchains for a legitimate reason.
I also wonder why new companies need to release new currencies instead of using an existing one like Ethereum. Is there a technical reason for that?
If you don't make your own crypto then you don't make any money, no ?
I think one of the lessons learned from the 2013-2014 boom and bust is blockchains never truly die. My BitShares was down like 80% from crowdsale price.