In 2013, the crypto ecosystem had a only a handful of exchanges and every news report on bitcoin was referencing drugs and the Silk Road. Imho today's environment has almost nothing in common with the situation back in 2013.
I doubt we are in a long term bear market, 2013 was different in that way fewer people knew about crypto and blockchain, there are more people involved in crypto than ever before (I think), and therefore the prices will continue to grow.
I think the worst possible outcome is relative stability, which would mean ups and downs, but lingering int he 300-500 billion total market cap range. And I think that would likely not last more than 3rd quarter 2018 because again there are simply too many new interested people, too many people who are interested in blockchain, that were not in the game before, and this new reach will lead to growth this year IMO.
Having said all that, if I am wrong, and if prices do go down, or remain stagnant for multiple years, WOW, what a gift that would be! That would literrally be the greatest financial opportunity of my life, in that I would have an extended period of time to accumulate crypto at prices that will in my view, one day soon be paltry.
Crypto is here to stay, and parabolic growth well beyond our highest highs are coming, whether in 3-6 months, or 3-6 years, I don't really care, I'm convinced, I'm holding, and I'm looking forward to buying more.
The last bear market lasted for 17 months, during which total cryptocurrency market capitalization fell by ~76% from its all-time high. If you'd invested $400 in BTC and $400 in the bottom 20 alt-coins (by market cap), then as of today's date, your investments would be worth ~$11,564 (BTC) and ~$18,740 (alts)--a total of ~$30,304--despite the fact that 16 out of the bottom 20 alts disappeared in the intervening years. I believe the lesson here is to spread your alt-coin investments out.
According to CoinMarketCap, during the earlier bull market, total crypto market capitalization peaked on November 30, 2013, at ~$15.2 billion. Thereafter, a long bear market began, during which total market cap bobbed up and down for over a year, hitting its first major low of ~$3.6 billion on January 16, 2015--a ~75% drop--and then going back up to as high as ~$4.7 billion in mid-March. Finally, on April 26, 2015, the market hit bottom at ~$3.5 billion--a ~76% drop.
This year, total crypto market cap hit an all-time high of ~$828 billion on January 7, 2018. If the current bear market were to exactly mirror the 2013-2015 bear market (and it won't, but this is still a good jumping-off point), then we would expect to see the market hit a low of ~$196 billion by mid-June 2019.
As I write this, we're currently at ~$260 billion (i.e., down ~68.5% from ATH), having hit a low of ~$248 billion in the past few weeks (i.e., down ~70% from ATH). This suggests that we may still have a significant distance to go--both in terms of time (i.e., another ~14 months) and market cap lost (i.e., ~25% of the current market cap)--before we see the bottom of the current market. I'm personally somewhat more bullish than that, as I think any correction will be over by the end of Q3 2018, but that's what would happen if this crash were to exactly mirror the last one.
Bear markets make people a lot of money, they just don’t know it at the time.” For some of us looking at our crypto currency portfolios and trading accounts right now, this quote, by Shelby Davis, couldn’t seem further from the truth. But, the truth is, investing, and even trading, has never been about “right now.” There is an ebb and flow nature of all things in life, markets are far from excluded.
In my humbled opinion no one knows what will the market look like in the next few months. All I believe is that long therm crypto will rise, just because of dollar 💵 getting weaker.
Well, let's see if this develops like it did in 2013. I certainly believe there's a bright future ahead and thet the whole game is still at its infancy stage, however that's just me! No crystal ball here! Let's see.
That’s right! There are always bears and bulls. The truth is it’s all just a speculation. For every bull market there is bear market. I think we will be sideways for a few months.
Well the last year spike broke a lot of records and analysis, I really don't think 2013 is happening all over again, cryptos have a new dawn since the December spike
How can anyone know what the market will be?
I guess everyone is just making assumptions...
But i think each year is totally different from the previous
We really have to wait, because we can not compare the bear market of 2013 that few knew of its existence to date that the vast majority knows how it works and is being supported.
For example, Steem with Huobi is the only one I do not see with red marks.
We must wait for the situation to happen and we will go back, we will continue to grow and the paper becomes weaker every day !!!
I'm extremely perplexed by people thinking that recent movements in crypto prices are unusual since if you look at history, these market movements are quite normal.
It's actually quite healthy because having a newbie put money into crypto and immediately lose 50 percent teaches people that they need to be careful with the stuff.
I believe as more people embraces and invest in crypto currencies and as the awareness of crypto currencies continues to grow. I see the price of crypto currencies to rise higher again this year, because it will surely be based on demand and supply @louisthomas
just a wow report of
market analysis,i agreed with your informative post
everything is so great informative dear @louisthomas
by the way bitcoin is raising its worth by time ,,like diamond
i see agreat crypto future,
I think market already started once again growing. And i dont afraid on bull market for me looks like more bull market. I think also Bitcoin will be like gold or dolar on stock achanges. Bitcoin will be alweys point of reference even if transaction fees are from space.
I've been a fan of yours since November and love the content you create. I know you are super bullish on Ethereum and some other alt coins but I was currioius what you think of Qash?
I find Qash interesting and believe it has huge potential. Additionally, I lot of new developments to the project are coming out soon. If you have time, check it out. I would love to hear your thoughts on the coin and tech backing it.
In 2013, the crypto ecosystem had a only a handful of exchanges and every news report on bitcoin was referencing drugs and the Silk Road. Imho today's environment has almost nothing in common with the situation back in 2013.
I doubt we are in a long term bear market, 2013 was different in that way fewer people knew about crypto and blockchain, there are more people involved in crypto than ever before (I think), and therefore the prices will continue to grow.
I think the worst possible outcome is relative stability, which would mean ups and downs, but lingering int he 300-500 billion total market cap range. And I think that would likely not last more than 3rd quarter 2018 because again there are simply too many new interested people, too many people who are interested in blockchain, that were not in the game before, and this new reach will lead to growth this year IMO.
Having said all that, if I am wrong, and if prices do go down, or remain stagnant for multiple years, WOW, what a gift that would be! That would literrally be the greatest financial opportunity of my life, in that I would have an extended period of time to accumulate crypto at prices that will in my view, one day soon be paltry.
Crypto is here to stay, and parabolic growth well beyond our highest highs are coming, whether in 3-6 months, or 3-6 years, I don't really care, I'm convinced, I'm holding, and I'm looking forward to buying more.
Thanks for the post. :)
The last bear market lasted for 17 months, during which total cryptocurrency market capitalization fell by ~76% from its all-time high. If you'd invested $400 in BTC and $400 in the bottom 20 alt-coins (by market cap), then as of today's date, your investments would be worth ~$11,564 (BTC) and ~$18,740 (alts)--a total of ~$30,304--despite the fact that 16 out of the bottom 20 alts disappeared in the intervening years. I believe the lesson here is to spread your alt-coin investments out.
According to CoinMarketCap, during the earlier bull market, total crypto market capitalization peaked on November 30, 2013, at ~$15.2 billion. Thereafter, a long bear market began, during which total market cap bobbed up and down for over a year, hitting its first major low of ~$3.6 billion on January 16, 2015--a ~75% drop--and then going back up to as high as ~$4.7 billion in mid-March. Finally, on April 26, 2015, the market hit bottom at ~$3.5 billion--a ~76% drop.
This year, total crypto market cap hit an all-time high of ~$828 billion on January 7, 2018. If the current bear market were to exactly mirror the 2013-2015 bear market (and it won't, but this is still a good jumping-off point), then we would expect to see the market hit a low of ~$196 billion by mid-June 2019.
As I write this, we're currently at ~$260 billion (i.e., down ~68.5% from ATH), having hit a low of ~$248 billion in the past few weeks (i.e., down ~70% from ATH). This suggests that we may still have a significant distance to go--both in terms of time (i.e., another ~14 months) and market cap lost (i.e., ~25% of the current market cap)--before we see the bottom of the current market. I'm personally somewhat more bullish than that, as I think any correction will be over by the end of Q3 2018, but that's what would happen if this crash were to exactly mirror the last one.
I like your post very much to me. I hope this is always better post than ever.
Bear markets make people a lot of money, they just don’t know it at the time.” For some of us looking at our crypto currency portfolios and trading accounts right now, this quote, by Shelby Davis, couldn’t seem further from the truth. But, the truth is, investing, and even trading, has never been about “right now.” There is an ebb and flow nature of all things in life, markets are far from excluded.
No the crypto market is different , you will not see here something that already happen ....
All I believe is that long therm crypto will rise, just because of dollar getting weaker.
In my humbled opinion no one knows what will the market look like in the next few months. All I believe is that long therm crypto will rise, just because of dollar 💵 getting weaker.
Well, let's see if this develops like it did in 2013. I certainly believe there's a bright future ahead and thet the whole game is still at its infancy stage, however that's just me! No crystal ball here! Let's see.
That’s right! There are always bears and bulls. The truth is it’s all just a speculation. For every bull market there is bear market. I think we will be sideways for a few months.
i was around for the 2013 bear market it got ugly and this is not that
Well the last year spike broke a lot of records and analysis, I really don't think 2013 is happening all over again, cryptos have a new dawn since the December spike
How can anyone know what the market will be?
I guess everyone is just making assumptions...
But i think each year is totally different from the previous
crypto is gaining some ground and confidence ,along with flow of institutional money.we can expect a different experience now
We really have to wait, because we can not compare the bear market of 2013 that few knew of its existence to date that the vast majority knows how it works and is being supported.
For example, Steem with Huobi is the only one I do not see with red marks.
We must wait for the situation to happen and we will go back, we will continue to grow and the paper becomes weaker every day !!!
I am not sure. in my opinion see a few months the price has started to rise. I decided to hold the coin. if the price goes down I will buy in stages
nice informations @louisthomas
resteemid
History have this funny thing where it repeats itself. i could see this going like the 2013 market. thank you for the video :)
Nah. This is normal.
I'm extremely perplexed by people thinking that recent movements in crypto prices are unusual since if you look at history, these market movements are quite normal.
It's actually quite healthy because having a newbie put money into crypto and immediately lose 50 percent teaches people that they need to be careful with the stuff.
Great information @louisthomas... I read your blog entries happily. Thank you for everything
Thanks for your kind information You always come with great information
Great post..
I like it tbis post..
Thanks dor sharing cryptocurrency..
I appreciate your valuable post...
keep doing a great job mr louisthomas.
cryptos will rise to heaven
best regards
Very special video
Connecting Market 2013 in Market 2017
Very special information
I expect to make a profit
I believe as more people embraces and invest in crypto currencies and as the awareness of crypto currencies continues to grow. I see the price of crypto currencies to rise higher again this year, because it will surely be based on demand and supply @louisthomas
Bear market is driving me crazy, excellent information as always @louisthomas have a good day
we really don't think 2013 is happening all over again, cryptos have a new dawn since the December spike
Hi @louisthomas i am agree with you.
Good to see you're always open to read other thoughts. =)
just a wow report of
market analysis,i agreed with your informative post
everything is so great informative dear @louisthomas
by the way bitcoin is raising its worth by time ,,like diamond
i see agreat crypto future,
with alot of positives
this year will be alot different
i think good days are ahead
oh
marvelous discussion of market of crypto
crypto seems to gold day by day.its really worthy
great for crypto user.
really a great crypto analysis
dear sir,,
great post of worthy crypto currency
small surprise @ louisthomas sir
hello @louisthomas
thanks for your helpfull post
It is about making you think from a different perspective.
Excellent post good analyses thanks for sharing.
great informations friend for crypto
thank you for sharing
nice vlog @louisthomas
I think market already started once again growing. And i dont afraid on bull market for me looks like more bull market. I think also Bitcoin will be like gold or dolar on stock achanges. Bitcoin will be alweys point of reference even if transaction fees are from space.
aaa and almost forget - you have my foolow :D
Hello Louis,
I've been a fan of yours since November and love the content you create. I know you are super bullish on Ethereum and some other alt coins but I was currioius what you think of Qash?
I find Qash interesting and believe it has huge potential. Additionally, I lot of new developments to the project are coming out soon. If you have time, check it out. I would love to hear your thoughts on the coin and tech backing it.
Tristan
Oh my, I’ve been offline and coming back I see I’ve missed your post. I’m gonna take a look at the video now . Thanks for sharing
l think bitcoin is correcting the trend now
I learned a lot about cryptocurrency, thanks for sharing the video @louisthomas.