It's not much different than say buying stock. It's hard to determine the direction of the price (if it fluctuates), but maybe it's best to read up on news related to that currency and go from there. Watch the trends and hold your ground for now so you can gather more info to better anticipate the direction the trends are leading.
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There are time when none of those gimmicks works. And probably the market is going through that. Anyway, this post was made in a light way :)
Thanks