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RE: How should we think about today's cryptocurrency prices?

in #cryptocurrency7 years ago

Inflation at 12%? This must be a case of using the same word to describe different things. I'll believe 12% when I see it, but I've certainly not had any personal experience of any such thing.

What's the tangible effect of your 12% inflation? (I'm assuming you mean something related to money supply, rather than something related to price levels.)

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I like using shadow stats for numbers concerning the govern-cement.
And I personally use the burrito index or a similar, and much more tedious price tracking one (which I cannot remember the name)

Most of the created money is going into the stock market, so, the inflation is there... but most people consider it a good thing.

Hm. Last time the stock market collapsed, it was accompanied by a decrease in consumer price levels, which suggests that the high stock prices weren't being caused by anything quite as simple as money-printing; rather, the asset bubble was debt-related.

But your whole complaint is against fractional reserve anyway, so perhaps you agree.

So here's an interesting question, maybe we should start a top-level post to discuss it: how does a voluntaryist society prevent the emergence of fractional-reserve lending? It seems like fractional reserve banks are a very natural product of free markets.

Well, with block chain smart contracts, all those derivatives and debt swaps would have been triggered and all the money would have exchanged hands already. To the destruction of umpteen trillion dollars.

It is only because of obfuscation, and nobody pulling the trigger, that they remain.

If you do fractional reserve lending, at say 10%. You lend out the money 10 times. If one of those goes bad, you have lost all your money. So, in the realm of smart contracts, you go bust almost instantly.

If a bank / coin decided it was going to do fractional reserve, then the block chain using community would demand transparency on it, and you would very soon see the ponzi scheme of it.

you would very soon see the ponzi scheme of it.

Fair answer. For what it's worth, I bet you overestimate peoples' desire for transparency. Case in point: BitConnect and Tether. Both making billions of dollars in the blockchain-using community with business models that essentially cannot be made transparent. At least one of which almost certainly started as a ponzi scheme.