There are so many coins and they depend on luck, marketing, development, and a ton of different factors. I don't think that analysis of graphs alone is anything but a guess game unless we are talking about large changes in already very popular coins where market is already huge and pure statistics come into play. This coin is around #300 and there are hundreds of other coins there with probably very similar graphs. With 1000 positive "predictions" there is a good chance that at least some of them will be true.
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Yet educated guesses using the ubiquitous Fibonacci principle keep working for people disciplined enough to stay diversified Just to build on what you're saying about so many variables to consider, in this quantum universe we can also draw on the intelligence of the “enteric brain” in the gut which is scientifically proven to have more neuronal connections than the brain in the skull. Investigators, surgeons, judges, and investors for example rely on these “gut feelings” along with their intelligent studying